U.S. head coach Caleb Porter gestures during the second half of their U-23 international friendly soccer match against Mexico in Frisco

Predicted lineup, and a prediction for tonight’s Olympic biggie

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Under different circumstances, a manager might follow an underwhelming performance by sweeping out the lineup, punching up several changes ahead of such a significant, absolutely critical contest.

But U.S. under-23 manager Caleb Porter has his hands tied to some extent. (See the previous ProSoccerTalk post for how Porter and his side were left to fight with a shorter stick, roster-wise.)

Beyond the FIFA-related roster vagaries, the U.S. is a man down due to Juan Agudelo’s unfortunate knee injury. Otherwise, promising backups aren’t exactly falling off the U.S. bench.

Take the situation at striker, for example. Agudelo, the promising Red Bulls’ marksman, was clear and away the best U.S. choice among Porter’s trio of choices.

Teal Bunbury and Terrence Boyd are the other possibilities for topping Porter’s 4-3-3 arrangement – but neither was particularly effective Saturday against Canada. So it’s probably on Bunbury again, even if he failed to find the passing lanes or to open up the Canadian defense on the dribble. Otherwise, the coach would be leaning on a young man (Boyd) who doesn’t even start for his club, Germany’s Borussia Dortmund, where Boyd is a reservist.

Porter’s only other option is playing Joe Corona or Brek Shea at striker rather than at their more comfortable spots, attacking midfielder and left winger, respectively. Honestly, that one sounds like a reach.

Moving into the midfield, Jared Jeffrey struggled to make an impact Saturday. But Porter’s No. 2 option, the Philadelphia Union’s Amobi Okugo, seems more prone to picking up cards and didn’t add much upon his introduction Saturday. So, where does that leave things?

We’ve covered the unimpressive situation at center back. It is what it is; Perry Kitchen and (especially) Ike Opara simply have to rise and be bigger, more focused and just a little meaner than they’ve been over two matches.

The situation at outside back probably doesn’t need much attention. Zarek Valentin looked better Saturday as a right back than he did previously on the left. He was more a factor going forward than Kofi Sarkodie against Cuba.

Speaking of the left, one of the few bright spots of Saturday’s loss to Canada was Jorge Villafana’s solid attacking along that side. So the outside back situation isn’t a problem.

Finally, does Porter make a change in goal after Bill Hamid’s costly error, favoring Sean Johnson instead? Best guess: I doubt it. There’s a reason (whatever it might be) Porter made the choice of Hamid over Johnson in the first place. And so long as Hamid can keep his nerve, I suspect he won’t go up casually for anything inside his six-yard box tonight. Not a chance, I’d say.

Predicted lineup:

Bill Hamid; Zarek Valentin, Ike Opara, Perry Kitchen, Jorge Villafana; Jared Jeffrey, Mix Diskerud, Joe Corona; Freddy Adu, Teal Bunbury, Brek Shea.

Match prediction:

If the Americans can manage the match and not succumb to debilitating panic, they’ll get a goal eventually and probably win along the lines of 2-0. The key is patience; they can’t get stretched by pouring players too far forward, too early. It’s about managing the match and understanding they only need to win by one, not by three or four.

Defoe: Sunderland’s Duncan Watmore reminds me of Gareth Bale

during the Barclays Premier League match between Crystal Palace and Sunderland at Selhurst Park on November 23, 2015 in London, England.
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Duncan Watmore is highly regarded at Sunderland, as the 21-year-old was rewarded with a new four-year contract with the club earlier this week.

While the club has high hopes for the young winger, his teammates are taking notice as well.

[ MORE: Transfer Rumor Roundup ]

Watmore’s teammate Jermain Defoe, a seasoned veteran who knows all about succeeding in the Premier League, praised the 21-year-old’s play, comparing him to one of his former teammates at Tottenham, Gareth Bale.

In a funny way he reminds me of Gareth [Bale]. When he came on the scene at Tottenham, he used to just get the ball and glide.

He’s such a nice boy, I don’t think he’s bothered about signing new contracts and stuff, all he wants to do is play football and do well for the club.

If he can go on to do what Gareth has done then he’ll be fantastic. He’s the future of this club.

That’s quite the comparison, as Watmore has only made six Premier League appearances in his young career. Bale was twice named the Premier League Player of the Year before being sold to Real Madrid for a world record transfer fee in 2013.

[ VIDEO: Premier League highlights ]

While it’s a bit too soon to be calling Watmore the next Gareth Bale, there’s no denying he could be a huge talent for Sunderland. After coming on as a substitute in the Black Cats’ win over Crystal Palace on Monday, Watmore showed his speed and willingness to run at defenders, something the club is in desperate need of. He made his debut for the England U21 side this fall, which shows his form has impressed many outside of just the North East.

After starting his career in the Manchester United youth setup, Watmore was released and played with non-league side Altrincham before signing with Sunderland in 2013. He scored 11 goals in 18 appearances last year with the U21 side, being named the Under 21 Premier League Player of the Season.

Five Premier League players make UEFA Team of the Year shortlist

MANCHESTER, ENGLAND - OCTOBER 03:  Kevin de Bruyne of Manchester City celebrates scoring his team's fourth goal with his team mate Sergio Aguero (L) during the Barclays Premier League match between Manchester City and Newcastle United at Etihad Stadium on October 3, 2015 in Manchester, United Kingdom.  (Photo by Dean Mouhtaropoulos/Getty Images)
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UEFA has released the 40-man shortlist for the 2015 Team of the Year, with five Premier League players making the cut.

[ MORE: Champions League roundup ]

Chelsea’s Eden Hazard is on the list after being named the Premier League Player of the Year last season, as is Arsenal’s Alexis Sanchez.

Manchester City accounts for the other three players, as Joe Hart, Sergio Aguero and Kevin De Bruyne have been selected. However, De Bruyne makes the list mainly based off his play for Wolfsburg last season.

Three teams have more players selected than the entire Premier League combined. Barcelona leads the list with eight players, while Bayern Munich and Juventus each have six.

[ MORE: FIFA Ethics Committee seeks lifetime ban for Sepp Blatter ]

Cristiano Ronaldo already has the most appearances on the final list with nine, and is looking to make his ninth consecutive Team of the Year. No other player has been selected more than six times since the beginning of the award, which was started in 2001.

Below is the complete 40-man shortlist.

Goalkeepers: Joe Hart (Manchester City), Gianluigi Buffon (Juventus), Manuel Neuer (Bayern Munich), Denys Boyko (Dnipro).

Defenders: Leonardo Bonucci (Juventus), David Alaba (Bayern Munich), Giorgio Chiellini (Juventus), David Luiz (Paris St-Germain), Dani Alves (Barcelona), Thiago Silva (Paris St-Germain), Jerome Boateng (Bayern Munich), Ricardo Rodriguez (Wolfsburg), Javier Mascherano (Barcelona), Diego Godin (Atletico Madrid), Gerard Pique (Barcelona), Sergio Ramos (Real Madrid).

Midfielders: Grzegorz Krychowiak (Sevilla), Kevin De Bruyne (Manchester City), Ivan Rakitic (Barcelona), Arturo Vidal (Bayern Munich), Eden Hazard (Chelsea), Claudio Marchisio (Juventus), Marco Verratti (Paris St-Germain), Yevhen Konoplyanka (Sevilla), Andres Iniesta (Barcelona), James Rodriguez (Real Madrid), Paul Pogba (Juventus), Hakan Calhanoglu (Bayer Leverkusen).

Forwards: Gareth Bale (Real Madrid), Thomas Muller (Bayern Munich), Lionel Messi (Barcelona), Zlatan Ibrahimovic (Paris St-Germain), Robert Lewandowski (Bayern Munich), Neymar (Barcelona), Antoine Griezmann (Atletico Madrid), Alvaro Morata (Juventus), Sergio Aguero (Manchester City), Luis Suarez (Barcelona), Alexis Sanchez (Arsenal), Cristiano Ronaldo (Real Madrid).

New York Red Bulls’ Jesse Marsch voted MLS Coach of the Year

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NEW YORK (AP) — The Red Bulls’ Jesse Marsch has been voted Major League Soccer’s Coach of the Year, the first to earn the honor in the two-decade history of the New York team.

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The Red Bulls went a league-best 18-10-6 in Marsch’s first season after replacing Mike Petke, winning 14 of their last 20 games with one tie. They trail Columbus 2-0 going into Sunday’s second leg of their Eastern Conference final.

MLS said Tuesday that from combined team, media and player votes, Marsch received a weighted total of 152 out of a possible 300.

Dallas’ Oscar Pareja was second with 91 and Vancouver’s Carl Robinson third with 24.

How can Chelsea qualify for last 16 of Champions League?

HAIFA, ISRAEL - NOVEMBER 24: Willian of Chelsea celebrates scoring his teams second goal during the UEFA Champions League Group G match between Maccabi Tel-Aviv FC and Chelsea FC at Sammy Ofer Stadium on November 24, 2015 in Haifa, Israel.  (Photo by Ian Walton/Getty Images)
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With one match left in UEFA Champions League group play, Chelsea control their own destiny.

After beating Maccabi Tel-Aviv 4-0, the Blues sit tied with FC Porto on ten points at the top of Group G.

[ MORE: Champions League standings

However, with Dynamo Kyiv earning a big win over Porto on Tuesday, Chelsea must wait until the final matchday to qualify for the knockout round, as there is a possibility of a three-way tie for the top spot in Group G.

With Chelsea hosting Porto on December 9, here are the scenarios for Jose Mourinho’s men to assure advancement.

  • A win over Porto will clinch Chelsea the top spot and a place in the last 16.
  • A draw against Porto will see Chelsea advance.
    • Chelsea draw/Dynamo win: Chelsea win group, Dynamo finish second
    • Chelsea draw/Dynamo draw or loss: Porto win group, Chelsea finish second
  • A loss to Porto and a Dynamo Kyiv draw/loss to Maccabi Tel-Aviv will see Chelsea finish second in the group and advance to the last 16.
  • The Blues have secured at least a berth in the Europa League, regardless of the result in their final match.

Simply put, get a point at Stamford Bridge and Chelsea advance.