Lineup prediction for United States-Scotland friendly

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source:  A new U.S. Women’s National Team era begins today in Jacksonville, but the cast may largely be the same. Hope Solo is nursing a calf injury while Megan Rapinoe and Rachel Buehler were late into camp, but enough holdovers from London were picked to Tom Sermanni’s first playing squad that we could see a very familiar starting XI tonight against Scotland.

Of course, any lineup prediction for debuting coaching is foolish. Even if the XI shown to the right are chosen to start Saturday against Scotland, that doesn’t change the current landscape. As of now, over eight hours before the match, it’s all a very thin, educated guess. And most of the information guiding that guess may be outdated.

Consider this guest just the set of incumbents, with three possible exceptions: (a) Heather O’Reilly, the likely starter at right midfield, has usually been a substitute since Tobin Heath and Rapinoe became first choice wide midfielders; (b) Ali Krieger returns to the squad after a January 2012 knee injury, though she was the first choice right back when she went down; (c) Becky Sauerbrunn will likely take Buehler’s place next to captain Christie Rampone.

But before going through the positions, the it bares reminding: This is Sermanni’s first game in charge. We don’t know what preferences he’s developed during the team’s time in Jacksonville.  We don’t even know what formation he’ll use, let alone the roles he’ll define within that setup.

All we have to go on is the past, and as you can see from our prediction, we’ve defaulted to a “don’t rock the boat” approach:

GOALKEEPER: No doubt, Solo’s the number one, but with the world’s best keeper out for today’s match, we get a good idea of how the depth chart is sorted behind her. Ashlyn Harris, also in camp, looks like she’s fourth choice (high school prospect Jane Campbell was also called in). Nicole Barnhart and Jill Loyden were selected for today’s game. If Loyden got the start over Barnhart, Solo’s usual backup, it would be a talking point.

DEFENDERS: Sermanni only picked five defenders, with Santa Clara’s Julie Johnston the only one not in our projected XI. If Sermanni doesn’t default to incumbents — if he takes this opportunity to get a good, live view of new blood — it would be nice to see the 20-year-old start. Otherwise, it will be the more-veteran options: converted attacker Kelley O’Hara at left back; the returning Ali Krieger on the right; Becky Sauerbrunn in the middle along side Christie Rampone.

Players in camp not selected to the game day squad: North Carolina’s Crystal Dunn, UNC alum and Liverpool Ladies center half Whitney Engen, and veteran right back Heather Mitts. And Buehler, of course.

MIDFIELDERS: Lauren Cheney, not in our projected XI, could start anywhere in midfield. With 82 caps, she would certainly qualify under our incumbency theory.  Sermanni’s other choices, Yael Averbuch and Kristie Mewis, would be big surprises. We’re more likely to see Tobin Heath in on the left, Heather O’Reilly crossing from the right, while Carli Lloyd and Shannon Boxx resume their partnership in the middle.

In camp but not in the 16: Rapinoe, Lori Lindsay, and Keelin Winters.

FORWARDS: Though Sydney Leroux and Christen Press are quality options, it would be a major talking point with Alex Morgan and Abby Wambach, for whatever reason, didn’t start up top. The choice would either send a message about the fickle nature of sacred cows or signal a change in how Sermanni intends to run things. In the last years of Pia Sundhage’s reign, not even friendlies would provide opportunities for new players to work their way into the squad. Only injuries forced Sundhage’s hand. If somebody like Press got the call against Scotland, that would signal a huge change.

The only forward who won’t dress is NWSL No. 1 pick Zakiya Bywaters.

CONMEBOL WCQ: Venezuela, Bolivia teetering on elimination

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CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying is always a challenge, and this World Cup cycle is no different.

With six teams currently separated by a mere five points under leaders Brazil, everything is left to play for as Round 14 hits South America.

[ MORE: Messi could face suspension from CONMEBOL ]

Here’s a look at what’s on the docket for Tuesday:

Bolivia vs. Argentina — 4 p.m. EDT

It wasn’t pretty at all, but La Albiceleste picked up a crucial three points against Chile, which could produce a morale lift for Argentina given their past struggles against the reigning Copa America holders.

Lionel Messi’s actions from the match could harm the Albiceleste though, with the Barcelona man reportedly facing sanctions from CONMEBOL for verbally abusing a linesman.

Meanwhile, Bolivia is in desperate need of a win in La Paz, and anything but three points could potentially end La Verde’s hopes of reaching Russia 2018.

Ecuador vs. Colombia — 5 p.m. EDT

It took a long time for Colombia to crack the Bolivia backline on Thursday but a late run from Juan Cuadrado helped set up the eventual winner from James Rodriguez, and kept Los Cafeteros in the top four.

Ecuador didn’t have the same fortunes though four days ago after falling to a very game Paraguay side. La Tricolor have gone winless in three of its last four World Cup qualifiers, leaving Gustavo Quinteros side with little margin of error against the Colombians.

Chile vs. Venezuela — 6 p.m. EDT

Chile’s qualifying struggles continued on Thursday after falling to La Albiceleste in a closely-contested match. Arturo Vidal’s six goals leave the Bayern Munich midfielder third in all of CONMEBOL this campaign, but the Chileans still sit on the outside looking in at the moment and in sixth place.

Venezuela is teetering on the edge of elimination, and a loss against Chile would all but seal their fate of missing out the World Cup. After reaching the quarterfinals at last summer’s Copa America Centenario, La Vinotinto have failed to replicate that form this qualifying campaign with just one win to show.

Top scorer Josef Martinez is no longer with Venezuela after suffering an injury in Thursday’s 2-2 draw against Peru, creating a major void in the side’s attack.

Brazil vs. Paraguay — 8:45 p.m. EDT

The Selecao continue to score at a lightning pace this qualifying campaign with 32 goals in the first 13 rounds of play. Despite conceding early to Uruguay on Thursday, Brazil responded emphatically with four goals, and most notably Paulinho‘s hat-trick.

Elsewhere, Paraguay kept itself within striking distance of the top five after its 2-1 win over Ecuador. The side is just two points behind fifth place Ecuador.

Peru vs. Uruguay — 10:15 p.m. EDT

Los Incas have not reached a World Cup since 1982, and although the team is just five points behind fifth, they need to pick up victories. Ricardo Gareca will be pleased with his side’s resiliency against Venezuela on Thursday, but more draws simply won’t do with only four rounds remaining after Tuesday.

Uruguay still sits in a solid second position after Thursday’s slip up against Brazil but another defeat could be potentially disastrous for La Celeste, who are just three points above sixth place Chile. However, Edinson Cavani’s nine goals leads all of CONMEBOL and Peru has allowed the third-most goals this campaign (22).

Ugly scene forces Ivory Coast-Senegal match to be abandoned

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Monday’s international friendly between Ivory Coast and Senegal turned out to be anything but that when the match was interrupted towards the tail end.

Photo by Dan Mullan/Getty Images)

The fixture was abandoned with two minutes remaining in regulation after pitch invaders disrupted the the match by getting past security guards and began chasing after players from both sides.

The score was level at 1-1 in the 88th minute when the disruptions occurred, causing the referee to halt play at the Stade Sebastien Charlety in Paris.

One of the intruders even managed to tackle Senegalese defender Lamine Gassama (as shown in the picture to the right).

Liverpool’s Sadio Mane gave Senegal the lead minutes into the second stanza after he converted from the penalty spot, while Cyriac Gohi Bi leveled the score at one apiece just minutes later.

Messi could face CONMEBOL suspension for verbal abusing official

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Already facing some uncertainty with a depleted roster, Argentina could face a significantly greater challenge.

[ MORE: Aguero left out of Argentina starting XI vs. Bolivia ]

Barcelona star Lionel Messi could face suspension after reportedly verbally abusing linesman Marcelo Van Gasse during the second half of Thursday’s 1-0 win over Chile.

UPDATED: Fox Sports Argentina is reporting that Messi will receive a two to four match suspension and will be effective for tomorrow’s match against Bolivia.

Messi was reported to CONMEBOL for yelling, “F*** off, your mother’s c***” at Van Gasse and refused to shake the official’s hand at the end of the match.

The officiating crew from the match didn’t initially include Messi’s rant in the post-match report, however, it was added on Monday and submitted to CONMEBOL.

The South American federation must now decide if and when it will punish Messi for his reported actions, and there is the potential that the world-class attacker could be suspended for Tuesday’s clash against Bolivia if the federation acts quickly.

There are several other scenarios though for CONMEBOL to action, including disregarding Messi’s verbal assault.

La Albiceleste currently sit third in World Cup qualifying on 22 points.

Arena speaks about USMNT turnaround, says “no secret formulas”

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It’s only been one competitive match since Bruce Arena regained control of the U.S. Men’s National Team and there’s already been a noticeable difference in form.

[ MORE: Three keys for the USMNT ahead of Panama clash ]

The former LA Galaxy manager wouldn’t have you believe that though following Friday night’s convincing 6-0 victory over Honduras in CONCACAF World Cup qualifying.

“It’s nothing I can write a book on,” Arena said about his team’s turnaround in form against Honduras. “You have a sense of your group, and you go about doing your business. There’s no secret formulas to this stuff. Work together, take ownership in what you’re doing, treat them like responsible professional athletes, and you get on with your business.

He added, “They want to be successful. They want to play in a World Cup. Is that a recipe for success? I don’t know. I’m sure Honduras wants to play in a World Cup too.”

Arena, who took over for Jurgen Klinsmann following the U.S.’ collapse during the first two matches of the Hexagonal, is unbeaten in his first three games in charge since getting his job back with the Stars and Stripes.

Although there has been a considerable turnaround in the way the USMNT has performed in the first three matches of 2017, Arena wouldn’t stoop to comparing his style to that of Klinsmann.

“I’m not doing anything differently,” he said. “I’m not taking a survey [of the players]. I know it’s different. We lose tomorrow, there will be articles written that, ‘This a—— is letting these guys run loose.'”

“I have spent no time on the past. There’s nothing I can do about it. I kind of have a sense about things, but there’s no point in me spending time investigating what went on in the past. The idea was to get it going the right way from the start.”

Arena’s next test with the U.S. will be on Tuesday when the Yanks travel to Panama City to take on Panama.