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Just a rumor, but an Edin Dzeko-for-Edinson Cavani swap would make sense for all involved

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World soccer’s silly season is starting early. You can thank a lack of competition of that. With races across UEFA’s top five leagues completely deflated, it’s hard to blame fans and editors for gripping the rumor mill, trying to bring some uncertainty back into an unexpectedly predictable world.

But by now we all know, most of that uncertainty is utter chaff – rumors that only make sense for one of player, club, or other club; gossip fueled by a cynical appeal to readers’ most daft instincts. Yet on a rare occasion, there is a legitimately interesting rumor that surfaces that makes sense for buyer, seller, and player.

Or in this case, players.

And so we have the potential Edinson Cavani-for-Edin Dezko swap, a deal that’s main improbability is the scarcity of swap deals. The last time players of this magnitude were involved in a trade, Samuel Eto’o was going to Inter Milan to help Barcelona pay for Zlatan Ibrahimovic – an extremely rare deal at the time, one that’s already four years old.

Still, this speculated swap makes sense because of Cavani’s enormous buyout ($82.5 million), one Napoli can hold to given the Uruguayan’s production. Since moving to Naples from Palermo three seasons ago, the versatile target man has 72 goals in 95 league appearances. Combined with a nearly unmatched work rate at his position, Cavani is one of the world’s marquee strikers.

source: Getty ImagesThus it’s no surprise he’s been linked with every big club in the world, but with Edin Dzeko seemingly set to leave Manchester City after two years of part-time duty at Eastlands, the Citizens have a way of taking a chunk out of that buyout. If they offer Napoli an elite replacement and $54 million (as is thinly speculated), everybody could win: City get an upgrade that can truly complement Sergio Aguero and Carlos Tevez; Napoli get return on their investment and a viable replacement; Cavani gets a huge raise to move to a now-elite club; and Dzeko gets playing time while staying with a Champions League club.

The one hiccup: Dzeko may have better options. The former VfL Wolfsburg sniper is presumably keen to move back to Germany, with Borussia Dortmund said to be interested in seeing the Bosnian replace Robert Lewandowski. If Dzeko can go back to a league he likes — to a Champions League finalist who play in front of some of the best fans in the world – what incentive does he have to play ball in this swap?

If, however, BVB can keep Lewandowski, or if they have another replacement in mind, all of a sudden the Cavani-for-Dzeko swap looks far more viable. Dzeko’s style would be hugely successful in Italy, and at Napoli, he’s almost guaranteed to get as much playing time as he wants. Unless one of Italy’s other big clubs comes in for him – somebody like Juventus or Milan – Napoli could prove his best option, should BVB bow out …

Especially if they’re willing to roll over some of that $54 million into his wages.

MLS Snapshot: Orlando City SC 2-1 Montreal Impact

Cyle Larin, Orlando City SC

The game in 100 words (or less): For weeks, it was a widely held belief that the Montreal Impact would snatch up the sixth and final playoff place in the Eastern Conference with little or no resistance from their opposition. As they went six games unbeaten (four wins), all looked to be setting up perfect for the club that fired Frank Klopas midseason, but there was another team in the race for sixth that kept winning themselves: Orlando City SC. On Saturday night, Montreal and Orlando City faced off at the Citrus, with the expansion Lions claiming their fourth-straight victory with a 2-1 triumph. Montreal now holds a one-point lead on Orlando in the race for sixth, and have two games in hand, but it’s no longer a foregone conclusion L’Impact will qualify for the playoffs no resistance whatsoever.

[ MORE: | Week 30 TOTW | POTW ]

Three moments that mattered

33′ — Bush’s mistake gifts Larin the opening goal — Larin did what your taught to do as a striker — “put it on frame, test the goalkeeper” — but in no universe does a shot so feeble have any business finding the back of the net. Evan Bush has been great this year. Hopefully (for Montreal’s sake), this howler doesn’t turn into the yips with the playoffs looming.

43′ — Hall’s “mistake” gifts Oduro an equalizer — Dominic Oduro equalized in the 43rd minute, when he took the ball out of the hands of Tally Hall and smashed it into the back of the net, but the goal should have been disallowed due to Hall having full control of the ball.

80′ — Hines hits the winner for Orlando — Seb Hines put the ball back into the mixer and just so happened to find the back of the net in the 80th minute. Sometimes that’s all it takes.

[ FOLLOW: All of PST’s MLS coverageStandings | Stats | Schedule ]

Man of the match: Seb Hines

Goalscorers: Larin (33′), Oduro (43′), Hines (80′)

MLS Snapshot: NY Red Bulls 2-1 Columbus Crew SC

Bradley Wright-Phillips, New York Red Bulls
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The game in 100 words (or less): Two weeks in a row Columbus Crew SC have had a chance to go top of the Eastern Conference with a victory, and two weeks in a row Crew SC have failed to take a single point from massively important fixtures. Their latest defeat, a 2-1 humbling at the hands of the East-leading New York Red Bulls, started so well for Gregg Berhalter’s side, but was undone by a pair of costly, comedic defensive errors that allowed Lloyd Sam and Bradley Wright-Phillips (15th of the season) to erase an early deficit (Justin Meram) and win all three points. The result not only keeps the Red Bulls top of the East, but gives them a three- and four-point cushion with three and two games in hand on their nearest competitors., D.C. United and New England Revoltion respectively. For Crew SC, they’re four points back of the Red Bulls in fourth place, one point ahead of fifth-place Toronto FC, who have a game in hand.

[ MORE: | Week 30 TOTW | POTW ]

Three moments that mattered

9′ — Meram pokes it past Robles for an early lead — Meram “earned” his goal all the way back in midfield, when the Iraqi international’s mazy run took a routine turnover inside Crew SC’s defensive half and turned it into a dangerous counter-attacking opportunity. Harrison Afful overlapped and provided the cross for Meram to send home.

12′ — Sam capitalizes on multiple mistakes to equalize — Crew SC pass the ball out of the back. They don’t boot it forward to clear. It’s just what they do. Sometimes, that’ll bite you. When your goalkeeper and right back both have blunders clearing the ball 10 seconds apart, you probably deserve to concede an ugly, scrappy goal.

21′ — Wright-Phillips capitalizes on more defensive gaffes — See the above description for Red Bulls goal no. 1.

[ FOLLOW: All of PST’s MLS coverageStandings | Stats | Schedule ]

Man of the match: Damien Perrinelle

Goalscorers: Meram (9′), Sam (12′), Wright-Phillips (21′)