Luis Suarez to Arsenal? Bet on it.

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British bookmakers are reporting heavy action on the transfer bet that Liverpool striker Luis Suarez will head to Arsenal this summer.

Whereas one major bookie had to go so far as to stop taking bets on Suarez heading to the Emirates, most sites currently have the Uruguayan at 2-1 to join up with Arsene Wenger’s side.

The only club with greater odds at landing Suarez is Real Madrid, at 7-4 while other contenders are Manchester City (16-1), Barcelona (20-1), Bayern Munich (22-1), AC Milan (50-1), Atletico Madrid (50-1), Monaco (50-1), Paris Saint-Germain (50-1) and Juventus (66-1).

If you are skeptical as to why so many people are throwing juice on Arsenal to land Suarez, you are not alone as a move to the Emirates would seem unlikely for a variety of reasons.

First and foremost is that despite Suarez’ desire to leave Anfield, Liverpool have been steadfast in their intent to hang on to the striker.

Even assuming Brendan Rodgers is willing to part with the 23 league goal hit-man, it feels highly improbable that Suarez would be sold to another Premier League club.

Adding to the question marks surrounding the bet action is that Suarez’ transfer fee would likely be upwards of £30-40 million, a number that would smash Arsenal’s previous transfer fee record of £15 million (paid to Zenit St Petersburg for Andrey Arshavin). And while the Gunners have claimed they will spend big this summer, tacking on £30-40 million for Suarez when they already look poised to land Gonzalo Higuain for £23 million, feels aggressive.

If Arsenal is to move for a striker to join Higuain most pundits figure Wayne Rooney to be that man. The fee for Rooney would be considerably less than Suarez (likely in the neighborhood of £20-25 million) although the former, who’s reported salary of £250,000 a week is £130,000 more than Suarez’ current rate, would likely demand higher wages from Arsenal than the later.

A Suarez move to the Emirates becomes even more clouded if one is to believe the Uruguayan’s reasons for wanting to leave Liverpool – that he does not like the British media.

All that being said, when punters have good tips, they act. You be the judge.

Report: USMNT’s Arriola drawing transfer interest abroad, in MLS

AP Photo/LM Otero
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Paul Arriola’s motor was constantly running as the United States men’s national team claimed its sixth Gold Cup title, and it could drive him all the way from Club Tijuana to Europe or a prime spot on an MLS roster.

There’s a snag, though.

[ MORE: Everton wins Europa opener ]

Arriola is reportedly wanted by Real Salt Lake and clubs in both the Netherlands and Portugal, but the LA Galaxy has what Goal.com describes a “dubious homegrown player” claim on Arriola, who participated in a minimal of practices with the Galaxy when he was younger.

As you’ll see below, there isn’t much “homegrown” about it and, to its critics, it is peak MLS monopolized tomfoolery. Here’s how Goal describes it:

“He was already a U.S. youth national team player when he traveled the 120 miles from Chula Vista to take part in a handful of training sessions with the LA Galaxy academy and eventually the Galaxy first team.

“The Galaxy are believed to hold a homegrown player claim on Arriola, and would have the right of first refusal on making Arriola an offer if he comes to MLS. The Galaxy’s current salary-cap situation might not allow them to make a serious bid for Arriola.”

But… here’s how the Galaxy described his choosing to sign for TJ instead of a pro deal from LA in 2013:

“It’s a little disappointing,” Galaxy technical director Jovan Kirovski told MLSsoccer.com by phone on Friday. “He went through our system, we offered him a contract and he decided to move on and go somewhere else. But that’s going to happen. It’s something that has happened before, and it’s something that will happen again.”

Arriola’s response in the same article? “I thank the Galaxy for giving me a wonderful opportunity to train with their first team and be a part of their first team which really taught me a lot.” That doesn’t read as much like he “went through their system.” He played in at least one U-18 game, debuting in October 2012, did more training with TJ in December 2012, and signed for the Mexican side in May 2013.

Should that qualify him as Homegrown?

https://www.transfermarkt.com/paul-arriola/leistungsdaten/spieler/189876

Did Arriola spent significant time with LA, or is it possible the Galaxy might reap rewards from having an already established youth national teamer to practice when he was a kid? Whether you’re okay with that or not, consider that it encourages clubs to pilfer rights without actually registering or training the player.

Not to mention there is no guarantee that playing in the Netherlands or Portugal will be better for his development than MLS. Benfica or Ajax and potential action in European tournaments? Maybe. NAC Breda or Tondela? Maybe not.

Nevermind the quagmire that is American youth soccer clubs’ not earning money from transfer fees, the Arriola drama seems baseless. We don’t know the Galaxy will hold the player hostage, but they would actually be depriving MLS of a talent, as LA would theoretically get nothing should TJ sell him to a European club.

In any event, check out Arriola’s use chart from Tijuana and you’ll see why he’s valued by Bruce Arena as well as his suitors. He’s a Swiss Army Knife. Here’s hoping Tinseltown doesn’t stop him from a proper next step (assuming he’s ready to leave Liga MX).