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UEFA Champions League draw: Quality in each pot leaves multiple routes to Groups of Death

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When UEFA draws groups for this year’s Champions League on Thursday in Monaco, the big news won’t come out of the first pot, where names like Manchester United, Real Madrid, Barcelona and defending champions Bayern Munich wait to be drawn. Instead it’s pot two, from which Paris Saint-Germain and Juventus will be paired with another of Europe’s top clubs. Out of pot three, somebody will get grouped with Manchester City or Borussia Dortmund, while Rafa Benitez’s Napoli will be the club to avoid out of pot four.

Conceivably, you could get a group with Bayern, PSG, Manchester City and Napoli. Or Manchester United could be grouped with Juventus, Borussia Dortmund, and Real Sociedad. Regardless, with the increased number of strong teams outside Champions League’s top pot, the possibility of a group of death (or, groups of death) becomes more likely.

On Thursday, the 32 teams who’ve qualified for UEFA Champions League will be placed into four groups of eight, sorted by how well they’ve done in European competition over the last five years (a team’s UEFA coefficient). Each of the eight, four-team groups that make up the tournament’s main phase will feature a team from each pot. Most of the time, the system keeps Europe’s top performers from meeting too early in the competition, but in the case of teams that haven’t had major continental success in recent years — teams like Dortmund, Manchester City, Juventus and Napoli — the system can drastically underestimate their current quality.

All of which makes group stage much more fun. We could create a system that comes closer to a more accurate depiction of current quality – something that makes an attempt at looking at last year’s results while factoring in league strength; one that ignores Europa League results (this one does not). it’s be flawed and as debated as the current system, but it wouldn’t be difficult to come out with something “better.”  We’d end up with eight relatively even quartets.

But we’d also bringing an element of sterility to group stage. Our hypothetical system would be more fair to the clubs, but it’d also be boring. Besides, with half the teams in each group already advancing to the next round, the status quo is pretty forgiving, offsetting the unfairness. If you can’t finish in the top 50 percentile in your quartet, you don’t have much of a claim to being viable knockout round competition.

Come tomorrow, we’ll see the unintended virtues of UEFA’s system, with Napoli’s draw from pot four the key to a potential group of death:

Pot One: Arsenal, Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Benfica, Chelsea, Manchester United, Porto, Real Madrid

Pot Two: Atlético Madrid, CSKA Moscow, Juventus, Marseille, Milan, PSG, Schalke, Shakhtar Donetsk

Pot Three: Ajax, Basel, Borussia Dortmund, Galatasaray, Leverkusen, Manchester City, Olympiakos, Zenit St. Petersburg

Pot Four: Anderlecht, Austria Wien, Celtic, Copenhagen, Napoli, Real Sociedad, Steaua Bucharest, Viktoria Plzen

Is NYCFC showing Mix Diskerud the door? (Photo)

LOS ANGELES, CA - FEBRUARY 01:  Mikkel 'Mix' Diskerud #8 of the USA looks on during the singing of the national anthem prior to their international friendly match against the Korea Republic at StubHub Center on February 1, 2014 in Los Angeles, California. The USA defeated the Korea Republic 2-0.  (Photo by Victor Decolongon/Getty Images)
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Since arriving on the New York City scene two years ago it’s fair to summarize Mix Diskerud’s tenure with New York City FC as a disappointment.

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While the expectations of a quick transition from life in Europe to MLS were surely massive, the 26-year-old midfielder has failed to live up to the billing of not only being one of the NYCFC’s highest-paid players but also as a potential U.S. Men’s National Team candidate.

Diskerud saw his playing time dwindle down from 23 starts in 2015 to nine this past season under new manager Patrick Vieira, and it doesn’t appear that the Norwegian-American will see an influx of opportunities during the upcoming 2017 season.

Rumors have surfaced throughout the offseason about NYCFC potentially buying out Diskerud’s contract, however, the midfielder’s cryptic post to social media on Sunday afternoon suggests that he may not be in New York for much longer.

Somebody told me I'm not part of a plan and if he was I – he'd run like the others ran 'cause the budget is tight and binding contracts might be broken, to improve 5-6 positions – in exchange for only one man. – He went on to say; "the message is clear – unless you're clueless – 'cause you've lived it all'year since the budget is tight and binding contracts might not need to be broken if…. you crack, kneel or leave the hemisphere" – Who could tell so straight and clearly tales of destiny I fight sincerely when mental games are attempting aims to make me rage severely? – On and on the conversation went about money spent and special rules and mgt's tools and something about allocation being different cent – I wish I had right there – my pad 'cause then my favorite line fused by Robin Williams spine would play dead poets – real bad

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It has been suggested that Diskerud would possibly consider a return to Europe in the event that his contract was in fact bought out, however, the difference in salaries would likely be drastic.

According to figures released by the MLS Players’ Union, Diskerud made $761,250 in 2016, which was the fourth-highest salary on NYCFC books behind only David Villa, Frank Lampard and Andrea Pirlo, each of whom were classified as Designated Players.

Report: Aguero seeking Real Madrid move at season’s end

MANCHESTER, ENGLAND - JANUARY 21:  Sergio Aguero of manchester City in action during the Premier League match between Manchester City and Tottenham Hotspur at Etihad Stadium on January 21, 2017 in Manchester, England.  (Photo by Clive Mason/Getty Images)
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Gabriel Jesus was a revelation for Manchester City before suffering an injury, but even with a spot in the lineup for the time being Sergio Aguero may not be coming back to Manchester City next season.

[ MORE: Lucky Man United, Mourinho begin trophy haul ]

According to the Sun, Spanish giants Real Madrid are eyeing up a move for Aguero in the hopes that the Argentine striker will join the club at the conclusion of the Premier League season.

Prior to joining City back in 2011, Aguero played five seasons in La Liga with Atletico Madrid, where he scored 101 goals in all competitions for the Rojiblancos.

While Aguero is likely to hold his starting spot for some time due to Jesus’ injured metatarsal, manager Pep Guardiola had heavily favored the young forward over Aguero since officially joining the club in January.

U.S. U-20s paired with Mexico, El Salvador in CONCACAF knockout round

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Tab Ramos’ side completed their first task, but now the U.S. Under-20 national team has its next challenge lying in front of them.

[ MORE: Whitecaps acquire Brek Shea from Orlando City in trade ]

The U.S. U-20s finished second in Group B at the CONCACAF U-20 Championship after winning two of its three group stage matches.

Now, Mexico and El Salvador await the U-20s in the classification stage with a spot at May’s Under-20 World Cup in South Korea on the line.

During the classification round there will be two groups of three teams, with the top two teams advancing to the World Cup. Each group winner will meet in the CONCACAF Championship final.

Classification stage schedule

Group D

Feb. 27 — U.S. U-20s vs. Mexico

Mar. 1 — Mexico vs. El Salvador

Mar. 3 — U.S. U-20s vs. El Salvador

Group E

Feb. 27 — Panama vs. Honduras

Mar. 1 — Honduras vs. Costa Rica

Mar. 3 — Panama vs. Costa Rica

Claude Puel calls for video replay after Gabbiadini goal called off

LONDON, ENGLAND - FEBRUARY 26:  Manolo Gabbiadini of Southampton takes on Eric Bailly of Manchester United during the EFL Cup Final match between Manchester United and Southampton at Wembley Stadium on February 26, 2017 in London, England.  (Photo by Michael Steele/Getty Images)
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Manolo Gabbiadini performed brilliantly in Sunday’s EFL Cup final, but was the Southampton striker unfairly gipped of a hat-trick?

[ MORE: Lucky Man United, Mourinho begin trophy haul ]

Saints manager Claude Puel certainly believes so.

[ MORE: Three things from Man United’s win vs. Southampton ]

While the back-and-forth final between Southampton and Manchester United presented a tremendous matchup, the Saints had every right to be furious with the officiating in the early going after Gabbiadini’s 11th minute finish was called off for offsides.

“I would like, of course, video in the future for these situations,” said Puel. “It’s very hard when we see this game to lose. It was cruel.”

Gabbiadini went on to score a pair of goals at the tail end of the first half and early in the second stanza, but Puel was pleased with his side’s resilience after going down 2-0 inside the opening 38 minutes.

“We kept the good attitude and spirit to stay in the game after going 2-0 down,” said the Southampton boss. “We played since the beginning of the season every two or three days. We played to a strong and fantastic level. It’s important now to continue this work, to put away this disappointment and come back in the Premier League with this strength and this quality.”

Video replay has been a common discussion for some time now, but more leagues are beginning to examine the possibility. FIFA is prepared to introduce new experimental trials over the coming months and could present a form of replay at next summer’s World Cup in Russia.