Will last year’s Supporters Shield winners make this year’s MLS playoffs?

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Major League Soccer has always tended to be unpredictable, even ranging into the completely unstable in terms of how things play out in random, inexplicable or even incalculable ways.

But as I studied some history and looked at San Jose’s chances of getting past this year’s playoff velvet ropes, even I was surprised to see how many times the reigning Supporters Shield holders have completely crashed out of post-season pursuits just one lousy year later.

Heck, a couple of clubs won Supporters Clubs and didn’t even come back – as in, they were gone completely!

D.C. United was the last to drink from this tainted cup of ignominy, winning Supporters Shield in 2007 and then falling over the cliff a year later under Tom Soehn.

San Jose won in 2005 – and then hightailed it down south to Houston.

That wasn’t as bad as in 2001, when that great Miami Fusion team (with the young likes of future U.S. internationals Nick Rimando, Pablo Mastroeni and Kyle Beckerman) claimed the shield awarded to the club with the best regular season record. Then the team folded.

Overall, six Supporters Shield winners in 17 previous seasons have failed to make the playoffs the following year.

So, what of San Jose this year? This recent, thorough piece from the Quake Rattle and Goal blog does all the heavy lifting, but I can make it simple for you: Probably not.

San Jose has five matches remaining and probably needs to go 4-1 just for a chance.

It’s a tall order. It gets tougher if Chris Wondolowski and Co. cannot get at least a point at RSL this weekend – and that is a tough point to chase, especially considering RSL is coming off a poor night, and manager Jason Kreis is sure to have his team at full rev. After that, the Earthquakes’ schedule isn’t bad, with three of the last four checking the box under “potentially winnable contests.”

Still, there’s just so little room for error. Considering that San Jose is in eighth place, three spots out of playoff grace, I think we’ll be adding No. 8 to the list of Shield winners that couldn’t get there a year later.

Geiger, Marrufo, Villarreal picked as Gold Cup referees

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MIAMI BEACH, Fla. (AP) Mark Geiger, who three years ago became the first American to referee a knockout stage match at the World Cup, is among 17 referees picked for next month’s CONCACAF Gold Cup.

Americans Jair Marrufo and Armando Villarreal also were announced Thursday for the 12-nation tournament, which runs from July 7-26 in various U.S. cities.

[ MORE: Latest 2017 Confederations Cup news

Geiger, who is from New Jersey, was a referee for France’s 2-0 win over Nigeria in the round of 16.

Three each were picked from Mexico (Roberto Garcia, Fernando Guerrero and Cesar Ramos) and Honduras (Melvin Matamoros, Oscar Moncada and Hector Rodriguez).

Two will come from Costa Rica: Henry Bejarano and Ricardo Montero.

Others picked for the tournament are Joel Aguilar (El Salvador), Drew Fischer (Canada), Walter Lopez (Guatemala), Yadel Martinez (Cuba), John Pitti (Panama) and Kimbell Ward (St. Kitts and Nevis).

Watch Live: Germany, Chile in Confederations Cup showdown

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Alexis Sanchez is back in the Chilean starting lineup for the Confederations Cup’s marquee match-up on Thursday at 2 p.m.ET live on Telemundo Deportes.

Chile faces Germany for the Group B driver’s seat, holding a one goal advantage in goal differential.

[ WATCH LIVE: Cameroon vs. Chile on Telemundo Deportes ]

Germany starts Arsenal’s Shkodran Mustafi and Liverpool’s Emre Can in a young lineup with Bayern Munich’s Joshua Kimmich and Barcelona’s Marc-Andre Ter Stegen.

Report: Manchester United outbidding giants for PSG’s Marquinhos

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Brazilian outlet Globo Esporte says Manchester United has made the best offer to Paris Saint-Germain in a three-team giant battle for Marquinhos.

According to the report, the transfer fight is between United, Juventus, Barcelona, and Real Madrid, though only the first three sides have lodged bids.

[ MORE: Latest 2017 Confederations Cup news

Barca’s offer is said to be the lowest, around $50 million, while United is said to be willing to pay a staggering $78 million for the 23-year-old Brazilian.

Marquinhos has made 155 appearances for PSG since joining from Roma in 2013. He’s reliably made 40-plus appearances over the past three seasons, and has 17 caps for Brazil.

A terrific defender who excels in keeping possession, Marquinhos has also played some right back for PSG.

VAR steps in to help Australia draw Cameroon 1-1

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Twenty-one year-old Cameroon midfielder Zambo Anguissa scored a deft late first half goal, but Video Assistant Referee helped Australia to a match-tying penalty kick as both sides stayed alive in the Confederations Cup after a 1-1 draw on Thursday.

Australia captain Mark Milligan scored for Australia in the second group stage match for both teams at the Confederations Cup in Russia on Thursday.

Both teams lost opening matches, and victorious Chile and Germany square off at 2 p.m. ET

[ MORE: Latest 2017 Confederations Cup news

Australia struggled to put any semblance of threat together, and wasted its prime chance just after halftime when Mathew Leckie cued up Tomi Juric only to see the Luzern striker waffle before mailing a harmless chance wide and high.

The Socceroos came close again in the 55th minute, as a Leckie shot was blocked wide of goal. Their forward-thinking allowed some chances for Cameroon, too, as Aboubakar missed wide himself in the 58th minute.

Referee Milorad Mazic used Video Assistant Referee to change a corner kick to a penalty kick in the 60th minute, and Australia captain Milligan buried the spot kick to make it 1-1.Cameroon defender Ernest Mabouka chopped down Alex Gersbach in the box.

Aboubakar had a near post offering blocked wide by Milos Degenek, and the corner came to nothing. Australia had survived.