Subtext to Manchester City’s Saturday: We should stop trying to predict the Premier League’s title race

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No Sergio Agüero or Fernandinho? No Samir Nasri, Jesus Navas, Alvaro Negredo or Joe Hart in the starting lineup? Literally no problem for Manchester City. The Citizens held Premier League-leading Chelsea without a shot on target over 90 minutes at the Etihad, holding the lead for 71 minutes en route to a 2-0 FA Cup win over Chelsea.

Two weeks ago, Chelsea appeared to be the better side. An early goal from Branislav Ivanovic and 90 minutes of keeping City at arm’s length made the Blues the title favorites, a status emboldened by their place at the top of the table. But after a draw at West Brom and today’s performance in Manchester, it’s irresistible to ask: Is City’s game in hand and today’s win over Chelsea enough to make them title favorites? Right now all that separates Manuel Pellegrini’s team from the top of the table is a home win over Sunderland when the teams make up Wednesday’s cancellation.

There is an alternative: Let’s not pick a favorite. Let’s do more than give in to uncertainty. Let’s embrace it. Let’s learn from what we’ve seen through the six months of the season and accept there too many unknowns to offer a trustworthy prognosis. Let’s concede the things we know about Chelsea, Arsenal, City and Liverpool overwhelm the things we don’t. If we have to pick a favorite, let’s pick “I don’t know.”

Just look at all the times the narratives have been wrong this season. City couldn’t win on the road, and it was costing them too many points this fall? Nope. Chelsea’s relatively languid start as they adjusted to Mourinho? Right now, it’s as insignificant as the winter wavering between title favorites. For those who see the Citizens as surging, today’s win at Eastlands marks the second or third time this year we’ve had a new title favorite. And the year’s only seven weeks old.

At the risk of sounding too high-minded and aloof, let’s refrain from saying City’s the favorites. There a time for predictions, and this isn’t it. Let’s skip anointing Chelsea, Arsenal, or Liverpool, too. Let’s acknowledge that, while there certainly is a favorite in the cosmically absolute sense, we  have no real clue who that is. It’s beyond us.

Instead, let’s enjoy the next turn. UEFA Champions League restarts this week, which means in addition to the increasingly tight domestic title race, Chelsea, City and Arsenal have to worry about Europe. The Citizens start on Tuesday against Barcelona. Arsenal welcomes Bayern Munich to London on Wednesday.

Does that mean Liverpool have an edge on the title’s other three challengers? Possibly, but I don’t know. I’m tired of trying to predict how this season’s going to play out.

Miss of the season candidate as Correa whiffs for Sampdoria

GENOA, ITALY - SEPTEMBER 23:  Jaoquin Correa of UC Sampdoria disappointed during the Serie A match between UC Sampdoria and AS Roma at Stadio Luigi Ferraris on September 23, 2015 in Genoa, Italy.  (Photo by Pier Marco Tacca/Getty Images)
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21-year-old Joaquin Correa may be young and inexperienced, but he may have grown today.

Painful growth.

The young Sampdoria attacker will not want to watch the highlights of today’s 1-1 draw with Inter Milan in Serie A play knowing he could have given his side all three points.

Could have, had he – you know – hit an open goal from less than three yards out. Spoiler alert: he didn’t.

Correa rounds Inter goalkeeper Samir Handanovic thanks to a fruitful rebound after his initial shot was smothered, but as he turned to face the wide open net, he scuffed his shot and it trickled embarrassingly wide.

Not much more to say about this one than try to put it behind you, Joaquin. It’s an ugly one.

Watch Live: Swansea City vs. Tottenham Hotspur (Lineups & Live Stream)

MONACO - OCTOBER 01:  Harry Kane of Tottenham Hotspur gestures during the UEFA Europa League group J match between AS Monaco FC and Tottenham Hotspur FC at Stade Louis II on October 1, 2015 in Monaco, Monaco.  (Photo by Julian Finney/Getty Images)
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Tottenham can go third in the table with a road win today at one of the toughest places to play in the Premier League at the moment as they visit the Liberty Stadium to take on Swansea City at 11 a.m. ET live online at NBC Sports Live Extra.

Spurs are coming off a massive win over Manchester City last weekend – their third straight victory in league play – but will be without bright new signing Hueng-min Son for the forseeable future after he suffered a foot injury in the victory. Spurs then managed a stout 1-1 draw with Monaco in Europa League play.

They are also without Danny Rose from an injury in that midweek meeting and Nabil Bentalib misses his fourth straight match due to injury, but Deli Alli is fit while Moussa Dembele makes the bench. Erik Lamela is in the starting lineup as he finds himself in fine form the last few weeks.

WATCH LIVE: Swansea City vs. Tottenham Hotspur live online at NBC Sports Live Extra

Swansea, meanwhile, have a fully fit squad eight matches into the Premier League season, and they would move into the top half of the table with a win.

Bafetimbi Gomis starts up front with four goals on the season, but he has not scored in his last three appearances, and conversely the Swans have picked up just one point over that span.


Swansea City: Fabianski, Rangel, Fernandez, Williams, Taylor, Ki, Shelvey, Ayew, Sigurdsson, Montero, Gomis.
Nordfeldt, Tabanou, Bartley, Cork, Barrow, Routledge, Eder.

Tottenham: Lloris, Walker, Alderweireld, Vertonghen, Davies; Alli, Dier; Chadli, Eriksen, Lamela; Kane.
Vorm, Trippier, Wimmer, Carroll, Dembele, Townsend, Clinton.