Preview: Performances, not final score, the real currency as U.S. takes on Mexico

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The true World Cup hype won’t being until mid-May, when the 30 players named to the United States’ preliminary roster will  convene ahead of the final team’s trip to Brazil. But the anticipation for this summer’s World Cup? It will pick up after tonight’s friendly, with the U.S. facing rival Mexico in Glendale, Ariz. – the teams’ final friendly before the European season ends and focus shifts to this summer’s tournament.

Relying almost exclusively on North America-based players, the game also serves as a kind of Major League Soccer versus Liga MX showdown. Though players taking part in CONCACAF Champions League action are not called up, Miguel Herrera’s side is relying exclusively on players from the Mexican league. And between the out-of-FIFA-window date (leaving most European players with their clubs) and Puebla’s late refusal to release its two U.S. internationals, 19 of the 20 players head coach Jurgen Klinsmann has called into camp play in MLS.

The one except is this weekend’s most talked-about player. Tampa, Fla.-born Julian Green, the 18-year-old Bayern Munich attacker who recently completed his one-time switch to the U.S., should make his first senior international appearance at University of Phoenix Stadium, with the former German youth international expected to see time at some point on Wednesday. When he appears, Green will immediately become one of the best prospects in U.S. soccer history – the first player in the program’s setup who can claim to have a Bayern-esque pedigree.

Klinsmann’s likely starting lineup will also be noteworthy, with Michael Bradley, captain Clint Dempsey, and Landon Donovan expected to take the field together for the first time since June 2012. Between injuries, sabbatical, and coach’s considerations, the U.S.’s three biggest stars haven’t played in the same side since third round World Cup qualifying in Guatemala. On Wednesday, however, the trio who formed the heart of the 2010 World Cup team’s midfield are each expected to be in Klinsmann’s starting XI.

Elsewhere, the U.S. will be missing some obvious starters. Up top, Jozy Altidore will be absent, remaining with his English team in Sunderland. In goal, Tim Howard is at Everton, while the fullback positions are wide open. The top two options on both the left and right sides — Fabian Johnson, DaMarcus Beasley (left), Brad Evans, Geoff Cameron (right) — remain with their clubs, meaning Michael Parkhurst and one-time international DeAndre Yedlin are likely starters out wide.

In that sense, the half-team feeling that accompanied last month’s friendly against Ukraine could be replicated on Wednesday. Though the tension of the Mexico rivalry and the unique nature of an all-MLS lineup will draw more eyes to today’s game, nearly half the starting XI will feature players unlikely to occupy the same role this summer. With midfielder Jermaine Jones also missing, between five and six spots in Wednesday’s team should see different faces once the U.S. kicks off June 16 against Ghana.

source: APIn the absence of those starters, however, comes a chance for players to prove themselves. In addition to Donovan (right) hoping to impress, whomever starts at fullback will be trying to make strides towards a place on the plane. For Parkhurst, that means cementing a spot that’s thought to be his to lose. For Yedlin, that means continuing his surprise push to snare one of the spots Klinsmann could give to a 2018 prospect.

Up top, Chris Wondowloski will surely see time, even if it’s in relief of Eddie Johnson. The 2012 Major League Soccer Most Valuable Player’s case would be greatly enhanced with a strong performance against a decent (if not full strength) Mexican team. Likewise, players like Brad Davis, Maurice Edu, and Luis Gil will be fighting for places in May’s camp.

And then there’s Green, who has gone from fanciful hope to viable World Cup prospect over the last few months. With the U.S. in need of another wide attacker — particularly one that offers a different look than those already available — the 18-year-old has a path to the final roster, even if he’s yet to play a minute for the team. When he appears, it will be for more than  a mere thank you for flying in from Europe. Green’s audition will be as important as everybody else’s; perhaps more so, given this first impression will be the only one the Bayern Munich II scorer will make before May.

As for Mexico, they will be trying to make the same assessments as the Americans, though from the U.S. point of view, the opposition is almost irrelevant. Between Wednesday and the three games the U.S. will play during May’s farewell tour, Klinsmann’s auditions will take place against a wide variety of styles and quality. No matter the opponents — be they World Cup qualifiers, European minnows, arch rivals or rarely seen foes — players will be expected to perform. The tensions of the U.S.-Mexico rivalry won’t be a mitigating factor when Klinsmann’s making his last cuts for Brazil.

Wednesday in Glendale, the process of selecting that final, 23-man roster picks up in earnest. Against Mexico, players will get apply the last two days’ training, with their performances potentially deciding whether they make May’s preliminary squad.

Though a good final score would help, Wednesday’s most important outcomes will be how players influence their chances of making it to Brazil.

Five Thirty Eight unveils Top 426 soccer clubs in the world

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Perspective achieved?

Advanced statistical site Five Thirty Eight has put together a weekly ranking of the top and bottom club teams in the world, and its algorithm gives us a theoretical answer into where Major League Soccer fits into the club soccer landscape.

[ MORE: Julian Green back on transfer market ]

At its very base level, the rankings will give reason to check back all season. Can Manchester United break into the Top Three? Will an MLS side leap into the Top 100? Can the worst American club avoid the bottom slot?

Here’s the list of clubs, and Five Thirty Eight has also gone through the trouble of giving its statistical analysis of who’s best set-up to win leagues and even games.

A note on the methodology:

We’re using recent matches played between teams from different leagues, supplemented with league market values (from Transfermarkt), to assign a strength rating to every league that we’re forecasting. Our new league ratings also give us the ability to a calculate a global Soccer Power Index (SPI) rating for each team — a number from 0 to 100 that represents the overall strength of each team.

The Premier League and La Liga combine for six of the Top Ten teams in the world, with Real Madrid No. 1 and Man City, Manchester United, and Chelsea running Nos. 7, 8, and 9.

Brighton and Hove Albion is the lowest ranked Premier League club, 188th in the world. The only PL sides outside the Top 125 are the three promoted clubs. Swansea is 113th, the lowest (or highest) ranked PL side aside from the new promotions.

Brighton is 17 spots below MLS’ top representative: Toronto FC. The same web site ranked MLS as the 28th best league in the world earlier this month, between Denmark and Croatia.

New York City FC shows up next, at 259, then rivals New York Red Bulls at 267. The bulk of MLS clubs fit between 320 and 422, where Minnesota United brings up the rear. The study ranks 426 teams, with three Scottish clubs running 424-426.

[ MORE: Man City 1-1 Everton | 3 things ]

As for some other odds, Five Thirty Eight gives Manchester United the best odds to win the league at 31 percent, with Man City, Chelsea, and Spurs joining them with the best odds to place in the Top Four.

The average simulated season has United besting rivals City by two points, with 80. Tottenham (72) tops Arsenal (68) for fourth by four points, while No. 6 Liverpool finishes 10 points clear of Merseyside rivals Everton (57 points).

It’s no surprise that the three promoted clubs — Huddersfield Town, Newcastle, and Brighton — are the top bets to be relegated, with Bournemouth, Crystal Palace, and Swansea City the next best bets to find life in the Championship.

Other notes:

— Manchester United is the fourth-best defensive team in the Premier League, behind only Atletico Madrid, Bayern Munich, and Juventus.

— Spurs are also in the Top Ten amongst defensive teams, a 8.

— Man City is the best offensive team in the PL, seventh in the world.

— Watford is this week’s highest PL riser, up 22 spots.

— MLS side Chicago Fire suffered the fourth biggest drop in the world this week (40 spots).

Five Thirty Eight is one of the best predictive web sites in the world, and one of the only ones who gave more than an outside shot (though still ranking it a long shot) of the 2016 United States presidential election turning out for the winner of the electoral college. So this is certainly food for thought.

Former Dinamo Zagreb boss injured after shooting

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SARAJEVO, Bosnia-Herzegovina (AP) Controversial former Dinamo Zagreb director Zdravko Mamic was shot and injured in Bosnia on Monday, police and media reported.

Croatia’s state TV said Mamic was shot in his leg and taken to a local hospital on Monday. It said the injury was not life-threatening.

Police were searching for two possible assailants.

[ MORE: Five PL new boys to watch ]

Bosnian media said Mamic was attending a memorial for his father at a graveyard near the town of Tomislavgrad when two people fired at him from a nearby forest. Another report said it was a drive-by shooting.

Croatia’s TV said Mamic voluntarily left the hospital in Bosnia after doctors managed to stop the bleeding, and he went to the Croatian capital, Zagreb.

Bosnian police declined to confirm the identity of the victim by name, but said a man with the initials ZM and born in 1959 in the Croatian city of Bjelovar, just like Mamic, was shot and injured.

Mamic, known for his fiery temper, has been on a high-profile embezzlement and tax fraud trial in Croatia.

Prosecutors accuse Mamic, his brother, and two others of embezzling 15 million euros of the club’s money since 2008 and not paying 1.6 million euros in taxes.

Mamic, who remains Dinamo’s adviser, is still considered the most powerful man in Croatian football despite the charges.

Dinamo issued a statement, calling the attack a “murder attempt.”

It said the attempted “liquidation” of Mamic was not a surprise amid a “lynching campaign” against him by the Croatian media.

He was recently knocked off his yacht into the sea by an attacker believed to be a fan of rival Hajduk Split.

AP Writer Dusan Stojanovic contributed from Belgrade, Serbia.

LIVE – Champions League playoff: Nice-Napoli headlines action

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With Celtic (just about) booking their spot in the UEFA Champions League group stage on Tuesday, four more teams will join them.

[ LIVE: Champions League scores ] 

Napoli, Olympiacos, Sevilla and Hapoel Be’er Sheva all have narrow leads heading into the second legs which sets things up rather nicely. Olympiacos and Be’er Sheva will be feeling particularly nervous after conceding at home in the first leg.

On Wednesday five more ties takes place across Europe with Liverpool looking to book their spot in the UCL group stage against Hoffenheim.

Below is the full schedule for Tuesday’s games, which kick off at 2:45 p.m. ET, while you can click on the link above to follow live commentary on all four matches.


Tuesday’s UEFA Champions League playoff second legs

Nice vs. Napoli (Napoli lead 2-0 on aggregate)
Astana 4-3 Celtic (Celtic advance 8-4 on aggregate)
Rijeka vs. Olympiacos (Olympiacos leads 2-1 on aggregate)
Sevilla vs. Istanbul Basaksehir (Sevilla leads 2-1 on aggregate)
Maribor vs. Hapoel Be’er Sheva (Hapoel Be’er Sheva lead 2-1 on aggregate)

LIVE – Premier League clubs enter League Cup

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Seven Premier League teams enter the League Cup second round on Tuesday with plenty of potential upsets lined up.

[ LIVE: Follow League Cup scores ]

All 13 PL clubs (six more are in action on Wednesday) face teams from the lower leagues with the likes of Crystal Palace, Leicester City, Bournemouth and Swansea City all on upset alert.

U.S. national team players to watch out for include Lynden Gooch who starts for Sunderland and Emerson Hyndman who is on the bench for Bournemouth.

Below is the schedule for the League Cup games on Tuesday with all games to kick off at 2:45 p.m. ET unless otherwise stated.


Tuesday
Crystal Palace vs. Ipswich Town – 2:30pm
Aston Villa vs. Wigan Athletic
Leeds United vs. Newport County
Middlesbrough vs. Scunthorpe United
Norwich City vs. Charlton Athletic
QPR vs. Brentford
Fulham vs. Bristol Rovers
Cardiff City vs. Burton Albion
Carlisle United vs. Sunderland
Doncaster vs. Hull City
Brighton vs. Barnet
Accrington Stanley vs. West Brom
Sheffield United vs. Leicester City
Birmingham City vs. Bournemouth
Watford vs. Bristol City
MK Dons vs. Swansea City
Reading vs. Millwall – 3pm
Bolton vs. Sheffield Wednesday – 3pm