2014 World Cup Dark Horses: France, Croatia and four other long shots to consider

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By now, you know the favorites to hoist the 2014 World Cup. More ink need not be spilt on why Brazil, Argentina, Germany and Spain are the most likely to triumph in this summer’s classic. A good amount has also been written about the chances of second tier candidates, nations like England and Belgium.

But what about the dark horses? Those nations with a chance, albeit a longshot, of upsetting the odds and coming out of nowhere to win the World Cup. Below we take a look at six nations, each of which is listed at greater than 20-1 odds, with a chance of doing the impossible.

LET’S BE REASONABLE…

FRANCE
Fifa World Ranking: 16th
Odds to win Group: 2-3
Odds to win 2014 World Cup: 22-1
Why France can win: Sans a storybook run in 1998, France’s worst enemy has forever been themselves. The 2010 World Cup in South Africa was shameful and coach Didier Deschamps made sure there wouldn’t be a repeat this time around when he cut clubhouse cancer Samir Nasri from the squad. The mood is right and so is the talent, which Les Bleus have in abundance with the likes of Hugo Lloris, Raphael Varane, Paul Pogba, Mathieu Valbuena, Franck Ribery, Olivier Giroud, Loic Remy and Karim Benzema. Drama-free, deep and talented makes for a pretty good combination for success.
Key factors: Unity and a healthy Ribery.

URUGUAY
Fifa World Ranking: 6th
Odds to win Group: 2-1
Odds to win 2014 World Cup: 28-1
Why Uruguay can win: Luis Suarez, Edinson Cavani, Diego Forlan. Those three alone justify the hype. Factor in that just three years ago they ruled South America after winning the 2011 Copa America and La Celeste is a side that’s been there, done that and has the firepower to do it again.
Key factors: Suarez’ health and a defense that doesn’t leak.

source: Getty Images

NOW WE’RE GETTING A BIT RIDICULOUS…

IVORY COAST
Fifa World Ranking: 21st
Odds to win Group: 7-2
Odds to win 2014 World Cup: 125-1
Why Ivory Coast can win: Easy, Yaya Toure. Coming off the best season of his career, the City midfielder is capable of anything, especially when paired with the powerful Cheick Tiote and Didier Ya Konan in midfield. Plus with an improved Gervinho flying up the wing and Wilfried Bony potentially partnering Didier Drogba up top, there’s enough talent there to see The Elephants becoming the first African side to win a World Cup.
Key factors: Young guns stepping up to match the feats Yaya and Drogba.

CROATIA
Fifa World Ranking: 20th
Odds to win Group: 15-2
Odds to win 2014 World Cup: 150-1
Why Croatia can win: The Blazers arguably have the most underrated midfield in the world. Luka Modric is coming off a fantastic season at Real Madrid, Ivan Rakitic may very well be one of the best playmakers in the world right now, Ivan Perisic has vastly improved since his move from Dortmund to Wolfsburg, and Mateo Kovacic is a highly-touted 20-year-old poised for a breakout on the world stage. Combine that with a formidable defense that contains Darijo Srna, Dejan Lovren and Vedran Corluka and a forward two of Mario Mandzukic and Ivica Olic and yeah, Croatia has the goods to compete at the highest level.
Key factors: Getting out of the Group and shocking Spain in the Round of 16.

OK, JUST STOP IT NOW; UTTER BLASPHEMY…

source: Getty ImagesUSA
Fifa World Ranking: 14th
Odds to win Group: 10-1
Odds to win 2014 World Cup: 100-1
Why USA can win: Having a coach who has won a World Cup is a huge boost but more than that, America’s chances of doing the incredible simply come down to an inherent sense of belief and momentum. Those two qualities carried a US hockey team filled with amateur and collegiate players past a USSR side in the 1980 Olympics. No reason why it can’t happen on the soccer pitch. Plus, with veterans like Tim Howard and Clint Dempsey to compliment upstart players like Fabian Johnson and Aron Johannsson, anything is possible. That’s the motto, at least.
Key factors: Staunch belief, surging momentum and a Germany side that plays its B team in the final Group match.

CAMEROON
Fifa World Ranking: 50th
Odds to win Group: 250-1
Odds to win 2014 World Cup: 500-1
Why Cameroon can win: Because history matters and Cameroon remains one of two African nations to ever make it to the quarter-final of a World Cup, at Italia 1990 when they lost to England in extra time. That year The Indomitable Lions came virtually out of nowhere, led by belief and 38-year old striker Roger Milla. This year the squad is led by another veteran striker, Samuel Eto’o, and has proven a stingy side to get past, as Germany saw this past weekend when they drew 2-2.
Key Factors: A defense that defends and Eto’o turning back the clock, catching fire and ripping hat-tricks throughout each stage.

Sky Blue’s Sam Kerr named NWSL league MVP for 2017

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CHICAGO (AP) Sky Blue FC forward Sam Kerr has been named the National Women’s Soccer League’s Most Valuable Player for this season.

Kerr, a standout on the Australian national team, had a league-record 17 goals and became the league’s fifth Golden Boot winner to also be named MVP.

[ MORE: MLS Decision Day preview ]

She became the first NWSL player to score four goals in a game on Aug. 19 against the Seattle Reign. Kerr rallied Sky Blue from a 3-goal deficit to beat the Reign 5-4.

Kerr’s award was announced Friday. The league had earlier announced the season’s other award winners: North Carolina’s Abby Dahlkemper was named Defender of the Year, teammate Ashley Hatch was named Rookie of the Year, Portland’s Adrianna Franch was named Goalkeeper of the Year and the Thorns’ Mark Parsons was named Coach of the Year.

The Mendy Effect: Pep praises injured back

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Full back Benjamin Mendy cost Pep Guardiola and Manchester City $68 million, but perhaps he’ll be just as valuable as a very expensive sports psychologist.

The “Shark Team” member was amusing on social media even before his ACL injury sent him to the sidelines until at least April, but he’s become a must-follow Twitter fixture with his in-game messages (See some of his work below).

[ MORE: MLS Decision Day preview ]

City faces Burnley at 10 a.m. ET Saturday (Watch live on CNBC and online via NBCSports.com).

It’s fairly clear his act has translated in private, too, as apparently Mendy is just as good in group messages (Let us in, Pep. We won’t tell anyone). From ManCity.com:

“Usually, players who are out for a long time with injury are sad. They sometimes train apart and feel isolated.

“Mendy decided to be present. He is communicating on social media, WhatsApp and he calls his teammates and messages me. He is going to be so important outside the pitch because people like him make the atmosphere much better.”

It’s not surprising for anyone who’s been following the former Le Havre, Marseille and Monaco man.

Keep in mind, these Tweets below are from the last few days alone!

Ozil to Manchester United?!? Wenger reacts to gossip

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Sometimes, even the biggest Arsene Wenger detractors have to feel for the guy.

Coming off a thrilling late win in Serbia, one that saw Olivier Giroud cap off a team goal straight out of the creative Wenger playbook, the manager should’ve been discussing how to stretch those good vibes into this weekend’s visit to Goodison Park.

[ MORE: MLS Decision Day preview ]

Yet no. Instead of talking about how the Gunners would respect the struggling Toffees, Wenger had to address speculation from several outlets claiming Mesut Ozil would move to Manchester United, perhaps as soon as January.

Feeling it? No, no Wenger was not feeling it. From Arsenal.com:

“We have to deal with all kinds of speculation when the players are at the end of their contracts. On the other hand, to be professional is to give 100 per cent as long as you are somewhere. For the rest, we came out many times and said that’s the situation. It [the media] can come out tomorrow and say that he extends his contract here. It will be exactly the same, it will not change anything. When you play the next game, commit 100 per cent. … When a player plays for Arsenal Football Club, his commitment cannot be linked with the length of his contract, it has just to be linked with the responsibility and the ambition he has to win the football game.”
Of course most big clubs have to deal with such drama on a year-to-year basis and, yes, having Ozil and Alexis Sanchez still in town was completely avoidable. But the idea that Ozil could leave, for free, to Manchester United? We’re sure Gooners the world over will be thrilled with the gossip.

MLS Decision Day preview: Much at stake

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Four teams can claim a Western Conference second round berth, while four more can earn a valuable first-round bye in the East.

Yep, there’s plenty to play for beyond the West’s final playoff spot Sunday during Major League Soccer’s Decision Day, when every team will take the pitch for 4 p.m. ET kickoffs.

[ MORE: Conte feels pressure ]

Here’s what we do know regarding the playoffs:

  1. Supporters’ Shield winning Toronto FC gets a first round bye, while No. 6 seed New York Red Bulls are headed to the road for a first round playoff
  2. New England, Montreal, Philadelphia, Orlando, DC, Minnesota, Colorado, and LA will not make the playoffs
  3. Full stop.

So, yes, this will be fun.

First, let’s look at the Eastern Conference Standings ahead of Sunday’s extravaganza:

Eastern Conference
Team GP W D L GF GA GD Home Away PTS
Toronto FC 33 20 8 5 72 35 37 13-3-1 7-5-4 68
x – New York City FC 33 16 8 9 54 41 13 10-4-2 6-4-7 56
x – Chicago 33 16 7 10 61 44 17 12-3-2 4-4-8 55
x – Atlanta 33 15 9 9 68 38 30 11-2-3 4-7-6 54
x – Columbus 33 16 5 12 51 47 4 12-2-3 4-3-9 53
x – New York 33 13 8 12 51 46 5 9-6-2 4-2-10 47

— New York City FC controls its bye destiny, though Columbus could join them on 56 points and would pass them on tiebreakers (wins).

— If that happens, Chicago could claim the second bye with a win or draw in Houston (The Fire owns the goal differential tiebreaker).

— If New York City and Chicago lose or draw, Atlanta could finish second with a home win over TFC.

— Columbus can finish second with a win and non-wins for Chicago and Atlanta.

Western Conference
Team GP W D L GF GA GD Home Away PTS
x – Vancouver 33 15 7 11 49 47 2 9-5-3 6-2-8 52
x – Portland 33 14 8 11 58 49 9 10-4-2 4-4-9 50
x – Seattle 33 13 11 9 49 39 10 10-5-1 3-6-8 50
x – Sporting KC 33 12 13 8 39 27 12 10-6-1 2-7-7 49
x – Houston 33 12 11 10 54 45 9 11-4-1 1-7-9 47
San Jose 33 12 7 14 36 58 -22 9-5-2 3-2-12 43
FC Dallas 33 10 13 10 43 47 -4 7-7-2 3-6-8 43
Real Salt Lake 33 12 6 15 47 54 -7 8-4-4 4-2-11 42

Byes

— Vancouver finishes first with a win or draw at Portland. The ‘Caps could finish as low as third with a loss to Portland and a Seattle win versus Colorado.

— Portland finishes first — and wins the Cascadia Cup — with a win over visiting Vancouver.

— Seattle can claim a first round bye with a win over visiting Colorado and a Vancouver win over Portland.

— Sporting KC can finish second with a win at Real Salt Lake and non-wins for Portland and Seattle.

Final playoff spot

— San Jose claims the sixth seed with a home win over Minnesota. They can also finish sixth with a draw joined by non-wins for FC Dallas at home to LA and Real Salt Lake at home versus SKC.

— FC Dallas claims the sixth seed with a win over LA and a San Jose draw or loss versus Minnesota. FCD gets sixth with a draw, and a San Jose loss coupled with a RSL loss or draw versus SKC.

—  Real Salt Lake gets sixth with a win over SKC, and non-wins from San Jose and Dallas. RSL could also get sixth with a draw and losses for San Jose and Dallas.

(Photo by Peter G. Aiken/Getty Images)

Schedule
FC Dallas vs. LA Galaxy
DC United vs. New York Red Bulls
San Jose vs. Minnesota United
Real Salt Lake vs. Sporting KC
Houston vs. Chicago
Seattle vs. Colorado
Philadelphia vs. Orlando City
Portland vs. Vancouver
Montreal vs. New England
New York City vs. Columbus
Atlanta vs. Toronto

Predictions

— NYCFC hangs on for a draw against Columbus, earning a bye, leaving Chicago to host New York Red Bulls and Atlanta off to Columbus for the first round of the playoffs (We have Toronto beating Atlanta on Sunday).

— Vancouver and Portland draw, while Seattle beats Colorado. The ‘Caps and Sounders get byes, while Seattle takes back the Cascadia Cup.

— San Jose beats Minnesota, gaining the West’s sixth seed. The Quakes head to Portland for the first round, while SKC hosts Houston.