Premier League relegation percentages revealed

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There is no doubt about it, the past few days have been pivotal in the Premier League’s relegation battle.

With Southampton blowing a 2-0 lead against Chelsea to lose 3-2 late on, Stoke coughing up a late goal at West Ham to draw 1-1 and the likes of Crystal Palace and Huddersfield grabbing huge wins, the dynamic of the relegation scrap changed dramatically.

[ MORE: Latest Premier League standings

The guys over at Euro Club Index have released their odds of relegation from the Premier League and it is looking bleak for West Brom (despite their incredible win at Manchester United on Sunday), Stoke and Southampton.

With five games to go for Saints and four for both Stoke and West Brom, time is running out for the trio to save themselves as the Baggies could be relegated as soon as this weekend.

Below is a look at the exact percentage chances of relegation for eight teams who remain in danger.

Just look at Crystal Palace and West Ham who have dragged themselves out of danger, but also, keep an eye on Brighton in the next few weeks as the tough games come thick and fast for the Seagulls.

There seems like there is one more twist left in the tale of the relegation battle and fans of West Brom, Stoke and Southampton certainly hope so…


Manchester United 0-1 West Brom: Red Devils concede title

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  • Win clinches league for Man City
  • Foster makes key saves
  • Rodriguez scores winner

A shocking Jay Rodriguez goal gave West Bromwich Albion a rain-soaked 1-0 win over Manchester United at Old Trafford on Sunday, meaning United cannot catch crosstown rivals Manchester City in the race for the Premier League crown.

It’s a first Premier League title for Pep Guardiola, whose team has 87 points, 93 goals, and a 16-point lead on second place United.

West Brom is dead last in the Premier League, now nine points back of safety with four matches to play. But caretaker manager Darren Moore has picked up a beautiful feather for his cap in Manchester.

[ MORE: Watch full PL match replays ]

Ander Herrera was denied an early penalty off a Romelu Lukaku feed, and United was very much on the front foot against Ben Foster and the Baggies.

Jesse Lingard thought he’d get a penalty for handball in the 64th minute, as the substitute tried to lead a United breakthrough.

Foster made an outstanding slap save on a Lukaku header in the 66th minute, and the Baggies dealt with a pair of ensuing efforts to keep it scoreless.

Lingard hammered a shot that took a slight turn off Chris Brunt, but it wasn’t spotted and West Brom got a goal kick.

Craig Dawson then headed a cross down to the center of the box, where Rodriguez dove to head an opener past David De Gea.

Foster collected a Chris Smalling header at the back post deep into stoppage time.

[ MORE: Latest Premier League standings ]

[ MORE: Full lineups, stats, box score ]

Watch Live: Manchester United vs. West Bromwich Albion

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Manchester United looks for a win which would delay Manchester City’s Premier League title ambitions a bit longer when it hosts (seemingly) relegation-bound West Bromwich Albion on Sunday at Old Trafford (Watch live at 11 a.m. ET on NBCSN and online via NBCSports.com).

WATCH LIVE, ONLINE, HERE

Daniel Sturridge is on the bench for West Brom, while Jesse Lingard, Anthony Martial, and Marcus Rashford all begin on the bench for Jose Mourinho’s Red Devils.

LINEUPS

Manchester United: De Gea, Valencia, Lindelof, Smalling, Young, Matic, Herrera, Pogba, Mata, Lukaku, Sanchez. Subs: Pereira, Jones, Rojo, McTominay, Lingard, Martial, Rashford.

West Brom: Foster, Nyom, Dawson, Hegazi, Gibbs, Livermore, Phillips, Brunt, McClean, Rodriguez, Rondon. Subs: Myhill, Yacob, Sturridge, Gabr, Burke, Krychowiak, Field.

PL Sunday preview: Man Utd to delay City’s party another week?

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Manchester United are the last hurdle standing between Manchester City and the Premier League title, a race which could come to its rather anti-climactic end on Sunday, while Arsenal continue battling for Champions League Europa League qualification…

[ MORE: Man City on the brink of PL title ]

Newcastle United vs. Arsenal — 8:30 a.m. ET, on NBCSN and NBCSports.com

10th-place Newcastle entered the weekend every bit as hot as sixth-place Arsenal, with both sides having won three straight PL games ahead of Sunday’s clash at St. James’ Park. The Magpies have clawed their way back following a disastrous start to the season (just four wins from their first 18 games, including a run of one point from nine games from October to December) and are all but mathematically safe from relegation after knocking off fellow relegation battlers Southampton and Huddersfield Town, as well as eighth-place Leicester City. Rafa Benitez will surely feel this is one of the best coaching jobs of his illustrious career, given the (lack of) resources at his disposal in the summer.

For Arsenal, the top-four is no longer a possibility (they sit 13 points behind north London rivals Tottenham Hotspur), and even fifth appears a big ask with just five games to go (six points separate them from Chelsea). In short, Arsene Wenger is all-in on the Europa League, which will see them face Atletico Madrid in the semifinals beginning next week. Similarly to Newcastle, their three-game streak has come against sides all currently 12th or lower in the table (12th, 18th and 19th). After a late scare away to CSKA Moscow in Thursday’s quarterfinals second leg, expect a heavily rotated lineup on Sunday.

INJURIES: Newcastle — OUT: Jesus Gamez (ankle) | Arsenal — OUT: Henrikh Mkhitaryan (knee), David Ospina (ankle), Santi Cazorla (achilles); QUESTIONABLE: Granit Xhaka (flu)

[ MORE: Three things we learned from Man City’s win over Spurs ]

Manchester United vs. West Brom — 11 a.m. ET, on NBCSN and NBCSports.com

Jose Mourinho’s Man United already delayed Man City’s PL title-winning party one week, and they have the chance to do it again on Sunday. City breezed past Tottenham on Saturday, leaving them three points from the title, which could also be achieved by a United loss to last-place West Brom at Old Trafford — an unlikely outcome, in all honesty.

“During the week I was trying to fight that result (the win over Man City) by working hard and trying to make the players understand that it’s not enough to deserve to finish second, we need the points to finish second,” Mourinho said this week. “Obviously to finish top-four we need four or five points, but to finish second we need much more than that and after three important points last weekend, we have to try to … be closer to the second position, which is, in this moment, our ambition.”

As for West Brom, their fate as a Championship side next season could be sealed as soon as next weekend. A loss on Sunday would mean the only way to avoid relegation is to win their final four games and Swansea City would have to lose all of their final five while overturning a minor goal-differential disadvantage (-19 to -26). An even more unlikely sequence of extraordinary events.

“From my discussions with the owners already, I know there is a genuine desire to build a team with greater goal power and attacking threat which can capture the fans’ imagination,” chief executive Mark Jenkins said this week. “In the event of our losing Premier League status, it will be a squad we will want to compete strongly for promotion back to the top tier.”

INJURIES: Man United — OUT: Phil Jones (fitness), Daley Blind (fitness), Sergio Romero (knee) | West Brom — OUT: Gareth Barry (knee), Hal Robson-Kanu (concussion), James Morrison (achilles); QUESTIONABLE: Daniel Sturridge (hamstring), Nacer Chadli (thigh), Jonny Evans (knee)

Rodriguez racial abuse charge found “not proven”

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West Brom striker Jay Rodriguez will not face punishment for an alleged racist incident against Brighton and Hove Albion.

The Gulls’ Gaetan Bong claimed that Rodriguez racially abused him during a Jan. 13 match, and Rodriguez was charged by the Football Association.

[ PL PREVIEW: Spurs vs. Man City ]

Fired manager Alan Pardew reportedly spoke up for Rodriguez at the hearing, after which the charge was found to be “not proven.”

The club released a statement following the verdict, with West Brom director of football administration Richard Garlick saying:

“Everyone at the Club is delighted for Jay because this has been a trying period for him. He has always maintained his innocence and we are naturally pleased the Commission has dismissed the charge.”