EURO 2020 scenarios, permutations for group stage

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There is a lot going on during the final group stage games at EURO 2020 and here are the scenarios are permutations you need to know.

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With the 24-team tournament soon to enter the last 16 stage, eight teams will be going home.

That will see the top two teams from each group advance to the last 16, plus the four teams who finished third that have the best record.

There are some absolutely bonkers scenarios that could play out, especially in Groups D and F.

In these final group stage games there is going to be incredible drama, and the potential for utter chaos in the final 90 minutes before the knockout rounds begin.

Below are the full list of permutations from UEFA, plus the remaining group stage games in each group, as European soccer’s governing body are set up for a heck of a finish to the group stage.


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EURO 2020 group stage scenarios, permutations for last 16

Group A

1. Italy (qualified)
2. Wales (qualified)
3. Switzerland (qualified)
4. Turkey (eliminated)


Group B

1. Belgium (qualified)
2. Denmark (qualified)
3. Russia (potential third-place spot in last 16)
4. Finland (eliminated)


Group C

1. Netherlands (qualified)
2. Austria (qualified)
3. Ukraine (potential third-place spot in last 16)
4. North Macedonia (eliminated)


Group D

1. England (qualified)
2. Croatia (qualified)
3. Czech Republic (qualified)
4. Scotland (eliminated)


Group E

Slovakia (3) vs Spain (2)
Sweden (4) vs Poland (1)

Sweden are through to last 16. If Sweden lose and the other game is drawn, Sweden, Slovakia and Poland will be split for first to third place on results between the three teams. If Sweden lose they finish third.

Slovakia will go through if they beat Spain, or if they draw and Sweden avoid defeat.

Spain will go through if they beat Slovakia. If they draw they will finish third unless Poland win.

Poland will go through in second place if they win and the other game is not drawn.


Group F

Portugal (3) vs France (4)
Germany (3) vs Hungary (1)

France through to last 16. They will finish first if they win, or if they draw and Germany do not beat Hungary. If France lose and Hungary win, second place will be decided on overall goal difference.

Germany will go through if they win, or if they draw and France do not lose. Germany will finish first if they win and France do not. Germany will finish third if they draw and France lose, or if both Germany and Portugal lose.

Portugal will go through if they win, or if they draw and Germany lose. Portugal will finish first if they win and Germany do not. Portugal will finish fourth if they lose and Germany also lose.

Hungary will go through in second place if they win and Portugal lose. If they win and France lose, second place will be decided on overall goal difference. Hungary will finish third if they win and the other game is drawn.