What’s to play for in the Premier League on the final day?

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With 37 matchweeks of the 2021-22 Premier League season in the books, so much is still to play for, from the title race all the way down to the relegation battle.

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The title race is still on, the top-four race is still on, Europa League qualification is still up for grabs, as are two places in the top half (with six sides still in contention) and one spot in next season’s Premier League.

As we head into the final day of the 2021-22 Premier League season, culminating in 10 games played simultaneously on Championship Sunday (Watch live, on NBC’s family of networks and online via Peacock Premium), let’s dive into the details and betting odds for each and every race up and down the table…


Premier League title

What was originally thought to be a four-horse race quickly became a three-horse race, and by the frantic festive period was down to two: Manchester City and Liverpool.

The defending Premier League champions took the top spot for the first time all season back in matchweek 16 (Dec. 4), and they haven’t relinquished control since. At one point, their lead swelled to as many as 11 points (the Reds sat 3rd, behind Chelsea), and it looked like they might lift the trophy again before spring had even sprung. Then, they dropped a few points (nine, in two months’ time, from mid-January to late-March), and Liverpool began to play their games in hand.

They won. And they won. And they won, until they were separated by just a point. They played one another dead even in a riveting 2-2 draw at the Etihad Stadium to start April. Now, four days before Championship Sunday, the gap is one after Liverpool beat Southampton on Tuesday.

Regardless who comes out on top, we thank them both for an incredible season of brilliant football.

Premier League run-in: Title race

1st: Man City – 90 points (37 games) GD +72
2nd: Liverpool – 89 points (37 games) GD +66

Remaining games

Man City: Aston Villa (H)
Liverpool: Wolves (H)

Premier League title: betting odds

Man City -715
Liverpool +500

(Full odds provided by our partner, PointsBet)

PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links.


Top four (UEFA Champions League)

Just as water always finds its level, Tottenham and Arsenal (or is it Arsenal and Tottenham?) always seem to find one another. A north London derby demolition job saw Spurs pull to within one point of the Gunners, before going two points above them with a hard-fought win over Burnley on the weekend.

All of the pressure is now was squarely on Arsenal, who would have finished (no worse than) 4th if they had won their final two games. Not to over-simplify things, but it really was that simple. They lost to Newcastle on Monday, though, thus Tottenham will clinch Champions League qualification with a win or draw against last-place Norwich on Championship Sunday.

Elsewhere, Chelsea clinched a top-four place as a result of Arsenal’s defeat and all but guaranteed themselves 3rd place with a draw against Leicester on Thursday.

Premier League run-in: Top four

3rd: Chelsea – 71 points (37 games) GD +42 [Qualified]
4th: Tottenham Hotspur – 68 points (37 games) GD +24
5th: Arsenal –  66 points (37 games) GD +9

Remaining games

Chelsea: Leicester (H – RECAP & HIGHLIGHTS), Watford (H)
Tottenham: Norwich (A)
Arsenal: Newcastle (A – RECAP & HIGHLIGHTS), Everton (H)

Premier League top four: betting odds

Tottenham -2500
Arsenal +1400


Top six (Europa League)

Having already missed out on the top four, one of Manchester United or West Ham will finish 6th and qualify for the Europa League, with the other falling one tier further down to the Europa Conference League. Whichever side of north London fails to snatch 4th will also head to the Europa League.

Premier League run-in: Top six

6th: Manchester United – 58 points (37 games) GD +1
7th: West Ham United – 56 points (37 games) GD +11

Remaining games

Manchester United: Crystal Palace (A)
West Ham: Brighton (A)

Premier League top six: betting odds

Man United -556
West Ham +350


Top half

Sure, finishing in the “top half” might not sound like an important achievement to Man City, Liverpool or Chelsea fans, but imagine you’ve supported Brentford your entire life, went to see them play in the fourth division as recently as 13 years ago, and now, the Bees are potentially one win away from finishing in the top 10 of the top league in England the world in their first season in said league.

Oh, and the difference in Premier League prize money for finishing 9th (highest Brentford can achieve) and 14th (the lowest)? $14 million. It matters.

Premier League run-in: Top half

9th: Leicester City – 49 points (37 games) GD 0
10th: Brighton & Hove Albion – 48 points (37 games) GD -4
11th: Brentford – 46 points (37 games) GD -7
12th: Newcastle United 46 (37 games) GD -19
13th: Crystal Palace – 45 points (37 games) GD +3
14th: Aston Villa – 45 points (37 games) GD -1

Remaining games

Leicester: Chelsea (A – RECAP & HIGHLIGHTS), Southampton (H)
Brighton: West Ham (H)
Brentford: Leeds (H)
Crystal Palace: Everton (A – RECAP & HIGHLIGHTS), Manchester United (H)
Aston Villa: Burnley (H – RECAP & HIGHLIGHTS), Manchester City (A)
Newcastle: Arsenal (H – RECAP & HIGHLIGHTS), Burnley (A)


Relegation

Norwich and Watford have already seen their places in the EFL Championship confirmed for next season (to be replaced by Fulham and Bournemouth, so far), but there’s still one more place in the bottom three to be decided.

Leeds only just got back to the Premier League last season when they looked long for the division, and Burnley have perhaps flirted with danger one too many times. Everton have saved themselves on Thursday, leaving it to the Clarets and the Whites to scrap for the final place in next season’s Premier League on Sunday.

Premier League run-in: Relegation

16th: Everton – 39 points (37 games) GD -19 [Safe]
17th: Burnley – 35 points (37 games) GD -18

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18th: Leeds United – 35 points (37 games) GD -38
19th: Watford – 26 points (37 games) GD -42 [Relegated]
20th: Norwich City – 22 points (37 games) GD -56 [Relegated]

Remaining games

Everton: Crystal Palace (H – RECAP & HIGHLIGHTS), Arsenal (A)
Leeds: Brentford (A)
Burnley: Aston Villa (A – RECAP & HIGHLIGHTS), Newcastle (H)

Premier League relegation: betting odds

Leeds -275
Burnley +190

Premier League 20th place: betting odds

Norwich -2500
Watford +1200