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Premier League odds: Chelsea matchweek away favorite at Arsenal

OddsSharkJan 18, 2019, 10:06 AM EDT

The reality an away-team win could be in both clubs’ interest might be the place to start with this week’s Super Sunday matchup.

Chelsea is the +135 away favorite on the Premier League odds with host Arsenal coming back at +205, while the draw is priced at +260 on the three-way moneyline and there is a 3.0-goals total for Sunday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

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Chelsea, which has three consecutive one-goal wins in its last three away matches, could all but eliminate Arsenal from top-four contention (and the automatic berth in the 2019-20 Champions League), and a Gunners side thinned-out by injuries and turmoil might welcome the chance to put more of its eggs in the Europa League basket.

Eden Hazard (+400 first goal scorer, -125 anytime) will likely feature for Chelsea now that Alvaro Morata is shipping off to Atletico Madrid of Spain. Chelsea by 1 Goal (+350) and Either Team 2-1 (+350) offer good value in Winning Margin and Correct Score Group props at online sports betting sites.

Elsewhere this weekend, Wolverhampton (+130) has won or drawn against Leicester City (+245, draw +225) in nine of their last 10 home matchups and the inconsistent Foxes’ last six away matches have all finished UNDER 2.5 goals. There is a little more value with looking at Wolverhampton 1-0, 2-0, or 2-1 (+185) in Correct Score Group props, and Raul Jimenez (+500 first goal scorer, +200 anytime) should be a factor offensively.

Liverpool (-500) and Crystal Palace (+1500, draw +600), in relative terms, both have strong scoring trends with the Reds having scored at least three goals in their last three home games and the Eagles having netted twice in each of their last three away games. Liverpool win/yes (+150) and Yes/Over 2.5 (+125) are the percentage plays in Both Teams To Score props.

Newcastle United (EVEN) and Cardiff City (+335, draw +230) are both in the relegation zone and reeling of late, with Newcastle winless in five games while Cardiff has banked only one win its last seven games (all competitions). Newcastle has injuries to key cogs such as Jamaal Lascelles (hamstring) and Isaac Hayden (back). Those factors make Cardiff enticing on the double chance (+180), while tie/no (+800), that is betting on a 0-0 draw, has good value in Both Teams To Score Props.

Huddersfield Town (+2000) hosting Manchester City (-650, draw +700) for a Sunday matchup right after sacking manager David Wagner begs the question of how to divine some Man City betting values. The any other score (+175) in Correct Score Group props covers the possibility of City scoring four or more goals in a win where it also concedes; it’s the same payout as No/Over 2.5 in Both Teams To Score props.

And Fulham (+425) hosts a Tottenham (-125, draw +255) side in its first game since learning Harry Kane (ankle) will be out until March. The overall trends, though, show that Fulham’s last six home games against Tottenham have gone OVER 2.5 goals, and the visiting Spurs have won seven of their last nine away games. Kane’s absence could make Tottenham try new modes of attack and winger Dele Alli (+600 first scorer, +200 anytime) could capitalize.

For more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes or Spotify or listen to it at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

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PL odds: Tottenham highlights betting favorites for Matchweek 22

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OddsSharkJan 11, 2019, 12:31 PM EDT

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Tottenham Hotspur will try to keep the upper hand at home against a resurgent Manchester United in one of the highlight matchups on this week’s Premier League slate.

Tottenham Hotspur is the +110 favorite on the Premier League odds for Sunday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com, with Manchester United coming back at +265, the draw also at +265 on the three-way moneyline, and a 3.0-goals total.

Tottenham has won six of its last seven league matches and also has three consecutive home wins against Manchester United, which has won four in a row on the bounce under caretaker manager Ole Gunnar Solskjaer.

One hallmark for Tottenham, whose striker Harry Kane (+350 first goal scorer, -110 anytime) is the best to score, is their fast starts, which could create a kind of early pressure that United has not seen during a soft recent schedule. United, thanks in large part to the playmaking of Paul Pogba, is a capable counter-attacking team, and as such bettors should give consideration to various Both Teams To Score (BTTS) props, with Either Team 2-1 (+400) being a higher-risk play than simply taking Spurs to win.

West Ham United (+255) has not defeated Arsenal (even, draw +280) in their last six home matchups, but the Gunners are also winless in their last four away games in the league entering this Saturday matchup. It should be a high scoring chance game, with West Ham’s Marko Arnautovic (+500 first goal scorer, +135 anytime) and Arsenal’s Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (+350 first goal scorer, -120 anytime) being strong gets to score.

Brighton & Hove Albion (+950), which has been a pesky side at home, takes on first-place Liverpool (-335, draw +475), which has a center-back conundrum due to Dejan Lovren and Joel Matip both being unlikely to play. Taking Tie/Yes (+550) in Both Teams To Score props is one value play available to those who think Brighton might shock the league leaders.

Burnley (+140) hosts Fulham (+225, draw +220) having won three in a row on the bounce (all competitions). Fulham has conceded at least two goals in eight of its last 10 away matches but has tightened its defensive play of late. The Either Team 2-1 (+400) in correct score group props might be the best way of straddling doubts about either side. Fulham’s Aleksandar Mitrovic (+400 first scorer, +135 anytime) scored twice in these teams’ reverse fixture in August.

Crystal Palace (+125) hosts Watford (+245, draw +240) and 10 of its last 11 home games have gone UNDER 2.5 goals, with Crystal Palace also failing to score in seven of its last 10 home fixtures. Watford (+140 on the double chance) should be motivated to get a result since it has a chance to move up to seventh in the overall table, while Jordan Ayew (+650 first scorer), +235 anytime) might be Palace’s best scoring threat.

Everton (-130) and Bournemouth (+370, draw +285), who meet in a Sunday matchup, have gone OVER 2.5 goals in their last four games (all competitions), and the visiting Cherries have also topped that total in 10 of their last 12 games. Along with yes/over 2.5 (even) in BTTS props, the most promising value on Everton may be in the 3-0, 3-1 or 3-2 correct score prop (+450).

Premier League odds: Manchester United among matchweek favorites

OddsSharkDec 21, 2018, 8:00 AM EDT

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Manchester United’s players have what they wanted — a manager who is not named Jose Mourinho — and that could lead to offering the betting value typically associated with a top club.

Now under the interim command of Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, Manchester United is a -170 away favorite at +525 underdog Cardiff City on the Premier League odds for Saturday, with the draw offering +320 on the three-way moneyline and a 2.5-goals total at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

Sixth-place Manchester United, which sacked Mourinho on Tuesday, will probably try to assert itself with a more attacking style spearheaded by the likes of midfielder Paul Pogba, winger Anthony Martial and forward Marcus Rashford as it tries to get back in contact with the top four who are in position to qualify for the 2019-20 Champions League.

The payouts on Man United move into plus money at sports betting sites for a shutout win (+170), while the correct score group props contain value for Manchester United win 3-0, 3-1 or 3-2 (+400) as well as a 3-0 result (+900). In terms of attaching a betting interest to a narrative, Pogba (+600 first scorer, +200 anytime) offers more upside in individual scorer props now that he’s free from Mourinho than Rashford (+500, +150) does in the forward rankings.

Cardiff City has had one-goal victories in three consecutive home matches, albeit against stragglers Brighton and Southampton and newly promoted Wolverhampton, and is also contending with several injuries.

Elsewhere, Arsenal (-400), on a two-game skid in all competitions, hosts Burnley (+1300, draw +525) with little incentive beyond locking in three points. The host Gunners have a plethora of injuries and Burnley is likely to play with a single forward, so Arsenal win/No (-120) in the Both Teams To Score (BTTS) props and the UNDER (+110) on the 3.0-goals total might be safe plays.

Manchester City (-750) takes on Crystal Palace (+2000, draw +850) with playmaking midfielder Kevin De Bruyne expected to return, and stands a good chance of pouring it on offensively against a team it has scored at least four goals against in each of the last four matchups (all competitions). Man City is even-money on the 1.5-goals line.

West Ham United (+135), which has won four games on the bounce, hosts Watford (+210, draw +250) which won only two of its last 20 away games in league play. West Ham’s last four games have gone OVER 2.5 goals and Watford has conceded at least two goals in five consecutive games, which makes the higher-risk, higher-reward plays such as West Ham win/Yes (+350) in BTTS props and OVER 2.5 (+335) in West Ham’s total rather enticing.

West Ham is creating chances through its midfield, so Felipe Anderson (+800 first scorer, +250 anytime) has good value this week.

Huddersfield Town (+210) is the home underdog against Southampton (+155, draw +210), largely since it has won only one of its last six home matches in the league. The visiting Saints (-265 on the double chance) have some semblance of momentum after upsetting Arsenal on Dec. 16, and should generate some chances for Danny Ings (+350 first scorer, +138 anytime). There have been UNDER 2.5 goals scored in seven of Huddersfield’s last eight home games.

And Everton (+225) hosts Tottenham (+130, draw +240) in the lone Sunday matchup, with the Spurs owning an 11-game undefeated streak in this matchup in all competitions. Harry Kane (+300 first scorer, -120 anytime) is an especially good play in individual scorer props after being held out of a midweek Carabao Cup match.

Matchweek 17 Premier League odds: First-place Liverpool meets Man United

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OddsSharkDec 14, 2018, 10:05 AM EDT

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Liverpool has kept it clean and tidy of late against Manchester United, and neither team’s recent form offers much hint of that changing drastically.

League-leading Liverpool is the -175 favorite with Manchester United a +525 underdog, with the draw offering +315 on the three-way moneyline and a 2.5-goals total on the Premier League odds at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

Liverpool has been impenetrable at Anfield, with clean sheets in 11 of their last 12 home matches in the league, and it has also blanked Manchester United in its last three home matchups in all competitions.

The best value on Liverpool is to keep a clean sheet (+135), with a shutout victory (+185) being a chancier proposition. Manchester United, with Marcus Rashford, Jesse Lingard and Ashley Young returning to the starting lineup after being spotted in a midweek Champions League game, does offer plus money on the double chance (+140).

Manchester City (-500) tends to have its way with Everton (+1200, draw +600), which it carries an eight-game unbeaten streak against (all competitions) into a Saturday matchup. A minus-2.0 goals spread at online betting sites and 3.5-goals total have killed some of the betting value on Man City, but Gabriel Jesus (+350 first scorer, -125 anytime) could offer a nice payout if he benefits from Sergio Aguero resting with an injury.

Crystal Palace (+170) takes on Leicester City (+190, draw +220) with Wilfried Zaha (ankle/leg) questionable to play. Leicester will likely have striker Jamie Vardy (groin; +450 first scorer, +200 anytime) healthy and it has scored in its last nine away matches in the league, making a straight both teams to score pick (-105) the percentage play while Leicester win / yes (+575) is a longer shot.

Huddersfield Town (+160) is in the relegation zone and Newcastle United (+215, draw +210) is wobbling just above it, which could make for a conservatively played match. With neither team being in convincing score, a 1-0 finish (+240) in correct score props offers slightly more value, while Laurent Depoitre (+500 first scorer) will be drawing into a depleted Huddersfield front line.

Fulham (+190) and West Ham United (+145, draw +255) have gone over 2.5 goals in their last six matches (all competitions), and there are strong scoring trends as Fulham has allowed multiple goals in 13 of its last 16 matches, while West Ham has scored three goals in each of its three consecutive wins. The OVER (+110) on the 3.0-goals total at sportsbooks seems like a wise play, and West Ham’s Felipe Anderson (+900 first scorer, +275 any time) is a darkhorse in the individual props.

And Southampton (+290) is home to Arsenal (-105, draw +290) on Sunday in its first home game under manager Ralph Hasenhüttl, who seems unlikely to have his team sit back. That reality make the both teams to score props worth examining, with Yes / Over 2.5 (-105) being the chalk pick. In winning margin props, Arsenal by two goals (+425) offers good value.

Matchweek 16 Premier League odds: Man City favored at Chelsea

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OddsSharkDec 7, 2018, 11:33 AM EDT

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The form points to Manchester City in a matchup against a rival it has shut out thrice in succession.

Manchester City is the -105 away favorite on this week’s Premier League odds with Chelsea coming back at +300, while the draw is +270 on the three-way moneyline and there is a 3.0-goals total for Saturday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com.

Something will have to give; Chelsea is undefeated in its last 11 home matches in the league, but Manchester City has won 11 of its last 13 away matches and has kept a clean sheet against Chelsea in their last three matchups in all competitions.

The hectic pre-Christmas schedule will make for some heavily rotated starting elevens, with Chelsea not expected to have Ross Barkley (ankle) while Manchester City could be minus stalwarts Kevin De Bruyne (knee) and Vincent Kompany (fatigue). That could lead to an even contest with offense at each end, and Man City win/yes (+200) offers good value in the both-teams-to-score props.

Gabriel Jesus (+400 first scorer, +125 anytime) might feature at forward for Manchester City.

Elsewhere, Bournemouth (+450) has defeated Liverpool (-165, draw +355) only once in 13 tries and while there is a 3.0-goals total, the host Cherries have had their last six matches go OVER 2.5 goals. Liverpool should be on the attack as it strives to stay in contact with first-place Manchester City, and this could be an excellent chance to take Mo Salah (+350 first scorer, -110 anytime), although Roberto Firmino (+550, +170) offers a better payout and has a stronger recent history against Bournemouth.

Manchester United (-280) has not lost at home against Fulham (+850, draw +425) since 2003, but anything seems possible for the Jose Mourinho-led Reds. Eight of Manchester United’s last nine league games have been OVER 2.5 goals and Fulham has lost its last six away games, so there is betting value in a straight both-teams-to-score prop (-125) and Manchester United Win/Yes (+175).

Leicester City (+290) and Tottenham Hotspur (even, draw +255) have gone OVER 2.5 goals in their last three matchups (all competitions), and the visiting Spurs with James Maddison (+800 first scorer, +250 anytime) emerging as a complement to Harry Kane (+280, -120 respectively) are one of the most potent offensive teams in the league. Both-teams-to-score bettors should give some thought to “yes” options that are tied to a Spurs win.

Newcastle (+195) hosts Wolverhampton (+165, draw +210) in a Sunday matchup, with the Wolves having had an eight-day break to prepare. Newcastle has lost six of its home games in the league and Wolverhampton has scored in five of seven away games. The Yes/Over 2.5 (+175) prop might be the best percentage play in a match between inconsistent sides.

And Everton (-130) takes on Watford (+400, draw +285) in a Monday matchup, with Everton manager Marco Silva game-planning for a team that he helmed not so long ago. The Toffees have gone UNDER 2.5 goals in their last four matchups, but an extra prep day might lead to slightly more offensive fireworks.