Matchweek 11 Premier League odds: Liverpool take on Arsenal in critical showdown

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Liverpool have been able to break through for goals against Arsenal in recent matchups – even when the Gunners have their first-choice back line, which they won’t this weekend.

Liverpool are an even-money away favorite on the weekend’s Premier League odds with Arsenal coming back at +275 on the three-way moneyline for Saturday at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. The draw pays +280 and the total is set at 3.0 goals.

Liverpool, with the likes of Sadio Mane and Mohamed Salah up front, have scored at least three goals in their last five matches against Arsenal in all competitions, and the Gunners’ back line is depleted with fullback Hector Bellerin (thigh) potentially unable to play.

Arsenal, which have been overly reliant on second-half rallies, will also be minus key midfielder Matteo Guenduozi (suspension). Some of the chancier but higher-yield props predicated on a Liverpool victory include Liverpool win/yes (+275) in both teams to score props and Liverpool 3-0, 3-1, 3-2 (+550) in correct score group props.

Bournemouth (+275) are one of the most potent offenses on home turf, and Manchester United (even, draw +270) have scored at least two goals in three league matches in a row heading into their meeting on Saturday, meaning bettors might want to play around with an alternate total instead of the standard 2.5 goals.

Bournemouth’s Callum Wilson (+600 first goal scorer, +175 anytime) and Manchester United’s Anthony Martial (+500, +150 respectively) should feature and Manchester United’s defensive issues make Bournemouth worthy of backing on the double chance (-120).

Cardiff City (+260) host Leicester City (+120, draw +235) in a matchup where the latter’s collective mental state is a wild card after the helicopter crash death of team owner Vichai Srivaddhanaprabha last weekend. It might be a surer play to look at other props.

Both teams have scored in three of Cardiff’s last five home matches and four of Leicester’s last five away matches, while the over (+120) on the 2.5-goals total has come through in seven of Leicester’s last eight away matches.

Wolverhampton (+225) and Tottenham (+130, draw +250) may be due to break extended under streaks, as Wolverhampton’s last nine games have gone under 2.5 goals, as have Tottenham’s last four. Tottenham need an outright victory to stay in a top-four position and should press the issue, meaning the over (-105) on the 2.5-goals total is reachable. Tottenham have also led at half time in their last three league matches.

Chelsea (-375) take on tenacious Crystal Palace (+1000, draw +550) in a Sunday Premier League matchup. Eden Hazard (+320 first goal scorer, -120 anytime) is expected to return from a back injury for Chelsea and may be poised to cash in on Ross Barkley‘s attacking runs at Palace’s back line. In both teams to score props, Chelsea offer an excellent price on No/Over 2.5 goals (+275). Five of the last six games in this matchup have gone over 2.5 goals.

And Huddersfield Town (+130) host Fulham (+230, draw +240) in a Monday matchup that is the quintessential relegation six-pointer as both teams are far down the table. The urgency of the situation lends itself to taking the over (-105) on the 2.5-goals total, while Huddersfield also offer a good price (+220) to score in both halves as they face one of the EPL’s leakiest defenses.

For more odds information, betting picks and a breakdown of this week’s top sports betting news check out the OddsShark podcast with Jon Campbell and Andrew Avery. Subscribe on iTunes or Spotify or listen to it at OddsShark.libsyn.com.

Premier League Preview: Tottenham vs. Manchester City

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  • Spurs have midfielder Dele Alli (hamstring) available again. Jan Vertonghen (hamstring) and Danny Rose (groin) are continuing to make progress but remain absent. 
  • Man City’s Ilkay Gundogan is still doubtful with a groin problem, while Danilo (ankle) is likely to be missing. Fabian Delph has returned to contention. Claudio Bravo (Achilles) is a long-term absentee
  • Tottenham Hotspur has lost only two of their last 21 PL matches at Wembley (W15 D4 L2), but one of those defeats came against Man City in April. 
  • Man City is unbeaten in six PL away matches in London (W5 D1) and has won the last four in a row. Man City could now become the first non-London side to win five consecutive PL matches in the capital. 

Round 10 of the Premier League season comes to a close with a monumental matchup, as Manchester City travels south to take on Tottenham at Wembley Stadium (Watch live at 4 p.m. ET on NBCSN and online via NBCSports.com). The two teams take the field around 24 hours after the Philadelphia Eagles defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars, leaving the turf in a bit of a rough state, though we’ll see how both teams handle the potentially bumpy pitch.

Tottenham received a major boost late last week with the return of Dele Alli to full training but Man City can also count on Kevin De Bruyne available, though he may come off the bench.

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What they’re saying

Tottenham manager Mauricio Pochettino on facing Man City: “I think they are one of the best teams in Europe, not only in England. It will be so tough. They are unbeaten, they have excellent players. Of course, it will be tough. We will play the same way, as always. You cannot change your approach or mentality because the opponent is good like City. We are going to have our strategy, with or without the ball, and will try to win the game. That’s most important, playing in the way we want to play. Football is about belief. We respect them but our belief is that we can win.”

Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola on facing a title contender: “When you play against the contenders it’s almost six points, isn’t it? These are important. I don’t know what’s happened in the past but it’s true that the strong teams are making a lot of points, they are not dropping points easily. That’s why maybe the games against the contenders are becoming so important. We’ve started with three games away against them. That’s why it is so important to take those points.

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Prediction

Although Tottenham has struggled in UEFA Champions League play, Spurs have won four straight Premier League matches and the ingredients are all there for an upset victory at home, especially with the potential poor condition of the Wembley Stadium turf. Man City has performed well in de Bruyne’s absence, but it misses his presence today. Tottenham 2-1 Manchester City

 

Pochettino gives backing to Lloris; Alli fit for selection

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Tottenham goalkeeper Hugo Lloris has fallen back to earth in recent months after the highest of highs, winning the World Cup in July with Les Bleus.

[ MORE: Watch full PL match replays ]

Off the field, Lloris was handed a 20-month driving suspension and a fine after he was pulled over in August for drunk driving in London. On the field, Lloris’ performances have slipped quite a bit, ending with the France international’s sending off in Spurs’ 2-2 draw with PSV Eindhoven on Wednesday. Despite the recent form, Lloris still has the backing of his manager.

“I’m so objective, he is one of the best,” said manager Mauricio Pochettino said. “Things happened and you cannot change. He was important in games like Newcastle, Fulham, Manchester United, West Ham. In the games we won he was important. He didn’t play and we lose games. We have short memories in football. After Watford I remember, ‘oh we miss Hugo’. When you are a keeper you love to take risks. It’s a very unfair position. You need to be strong in your mentality to arrive in that level to play.”

Lloris has only played in seven games this season due to injury, with Michel Vorm filling in admirably. It’s a good sign for the players to see that their manager is supporting Lloris during a rough patch, but Pochettino will have to do some serious thinking as we head towards the meat of the Premier League season in November and December.

In more positive news for Tottenham, Dele Alli was back in training on Friday and is fit and ready for selection in Spurs’ match on Monday against Manchester City.

Tottenham’s Vertonghen out until December

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Tottenham is set to be without one of its star defenders for at least the next two months, if not longer.

The club revealed that after closely monitoring Jan Vertonghen, the centerback’s hamstring injury will keep him out until December. Vertonghen suffered the injury on September 29 against Huddersfield Town and while it was initially thought he would miss just one month of action, it looks as if it will be a much longer spell on the sidelines.

[READ: USMNT vs. Colombia preview]

Vertonghen had already been left off Belgium’s squad for its upcoming UEFA National League match against Switzerland and friendly next week against the Netherlands.

Vertonghen’s injury may be in part to burnout after a short summer break. The Belgian international started and played the full 90 minutes in all six of Belgium’s matches at the 2018 World Cup in Russia, and then turned up ready for action in Tottenham’s season opener against Manchester United on August 11, less than a month after his last game with Belgium.

Having Toby Alderweireld and Davinson Sanchez fit softens the blow a little for Mauricio Pochettino, but Alderweireld’s fitness history is suspect and there may need to be rotation between UEFA Champions League, domestic cups and the Premier League. Vertonghen is expected to be back in full training by December, so if the team can survive, they’ll have a rested and healthy star coming back at a key point in the season.

If Pochettino wants to look deeper on his bench, there’s 20-year-old Argentine defender Juan Foyth, England U-20 star Kyle Walker-Peters and Eric Dier can also drop back and play in central defense if needed.

Rose, McCarthy withdraw from England squad due to injury

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The injury bug has bitten England yet again.

Two more players were forced to withdraw from the national team squad on Thursday, one day before a crucial road UEFA Nations League match at World Cup finalist Croatia. Tottenham’s Danny Rose and Southampton goalkeeper Alex McCarthy left the squad on Thursday with “minor injuries,” that they arrived with. It appears that England manager Gareth Southgate thought it was best to leave them home before flying out to Croatia.

[READ: USWNT take care of business to win Group A]

Arsenal’s Danny Welbeck also did not train on Thursday but he’s remained part of the 23-man squad.

Rose’s departure is a disappointing one. The 28-year-old, finally seeming back to his best after overcoming a torn ACL in 2017, needed to lock down the left back position for himself. Now, with Leicester City’s Ben Chillwell waiting in the wings, the 21-year-old could have the chance to grab the starting spot for good.

McCarthy meanwhile, though uncapped, may not have made an appearance in either upcoming match, at Croatia and at Spain, making it an easier decision for him to return to the south coast of England.